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2360
result(s)
Government of Canada Fixed-Income Market Ecology
Staff Discussion Paper 2018-10
Léanne Berger-Soucy,
Corey Garriott,
André Usche
This discussion paper is the third in the Financial Markets Department’s series on the structure of Canadian financial markets. These papers are called “ecologies” because they study the interactions among market participants, infrastructures, regulations and the terms of the traded contract itself.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial services
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G20,
H,
H6,
H63
Have Liquidity and Trading Activity in the Canadian Provincial Bond Market Deteriorated?
Staff Analytical Note 2018-30
Chen Fan,
Sermin Gungor,
Guillaume Nolin,
Jun Yang
In recent years, the liquidity in the secondary market for Canadian provincial bonds was a concern for many market participants. We find that a proxy for the bid-ask spread has deteriorated modestly since 2010. However, a proxy for price impact as well as measures of trade size, the number of trades and turnover have been stable or improved since 2010. This holds for bonds issued by different provinces and for bonds of different ages and sizes. Alberta bonds provide an interesting case study: After the fall in oil prices in 2014–15, the province increased its borrowing in the bond market and its credit rating was downgraded. Yet trading activity for Alberta bonds increased significantly. Overall, we interpret the evidence as a sign of resilience in the provincial bond market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
G14
Should Bank Capital Regulation Be Risk Sensitive?
Staff Working Paper 2018-48
Toni Ahnert,
James Chapman,
Carolyn A. Wilkins
We present a simple model to study the risk sensitivity of capital regulation. A banker funds investment with uninsured deposits and costly capital, where capital resolves a moral hazard problem in the banker’s choice of risk.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
G21,
G28
Challenges in Implementing Worst-Case Analysis
Staff Working Paper 2018-47
Jon Danielsson,
Lerby Ergun,
Casper G. de Vries
Worst-case analysis is used among financial regulators in the wake of the recent financial crisis to gauge the tail risk. We provide insight into worst-case analysis and provide guidance on how to estimate it. We derive the bias for the non-parametric heavy-tailed order statistics and contrast it with the semi-parametric extreme value theory (EVT) approach.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C0,
C01,
C1,
C14,
C5,
C58
How Long Does It Take You to Pay? A Duration Study of Canadian Retail Transaction Payment Times
Staff Working Paper 2018-46
Geneviève Vallée
Using an exclusive data set of payment times for retail transactions made in Canada, I show that cash is the most time-efficient method of payment (MOP) when compared with payments by debit and credit cards. I model payment efficiency using Cox proportional hazard models, accounting for consumer choice of MOP.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C25,
C3,
C36,
C4,
C41,
D,
D2,
D23,
E,
E4,
E41,
E42
Blockchain-Based Settlement for Asset Trading
Staff Working Paper 2018-45
Jonathan Chiu,
Thorsten Koeppl
Can securities be settled on a blockchain and, if so, what are the gains relative to existing settlement systems? We consider a blockchain that ensures delivery versus payment by linking transfers of assets with payments and operates using a proof-of-work protocol. The main benefit of a blockchain is faster and more flexible settlement, whereas the challenge is to avoid settlement fails when participants fork the chain to get rid of trading losses.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Economic models,
Financial markets,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
H,
H4,
P,
P4,
P43
Price Selection
Staff Working Paper 2018-44
Carlos Carvalho,
Oleksiy Kryvtsov
We propose a simple, model-free way to measure selection in price setting and its contribution to inflation dynamics. The proposed measure of price selection is based on the observed comovement between inflation and the average level from which adjusting prices depart.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E51
Market Size and Entry in International Trade: Product Versus Firm Fixed Costs
Staff Working Paper 2018-43
Walter Steingress
This paper develops a theoretical framework to infer the nature of fixed costs from the relationship between entry patterns in international markets and destination market size. If fixed costs are at the firm level, firms take advantage of an intrafirm spillover by expanding firm-level product range (scope).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Firm dynamics,
International topics,
Trade integration
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F12,
F14,
F2,
F23
Estimating the Impacts of Tariff Changes: Two Illustrative Scenarios
Staff Analytical Note 2018-29
Karyne B. Charbonneau,
Anthony Landry
We build upon new developments in the international trade literature to construct a quantitative Ricardian framework similar to Caliendo and Parro (2015) to isolate and estimate the long-run economic impacts of tariff changes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Recent economic and financial developments,
Trade integration
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F11,
F13,
F14,
F15,
F5,
F50,
F6,
F62,
F68