Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1323
result(s)
What Drives Exchange Rates? New Evidence from a Panel of U.S. Dollar Bilateral Exchange Rates
Staff Working Paper 2010-5
Jean-Philippe Cayen,
Donald Coletti,
René Lalonde,
Philipp Maier
We use a novel approach to identify economic developments that drive exchange rates in the long run. Using a panel of six quarterly U.S. bilateral real exchange rates – Australia, Canada, the euro, Japan, New Zealand and the United Kingdom – over the 1980-2007 period, a dynamic factor model points to two common factors.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rates
JEL Code(s):
J,
J3,
J31
Macroprudential Regulation and Systemic Capital Requirements
Staff Working Paper 2010-4
Céline Gauthier,
Alfred Lehar,
Moez Souissi
In the aftermath of the financial crisis, there is interest in reforming bank regulation such that capital requirements are more closely linked to a bank's contribution to the overall risk of the financial system. In our paper we compare alternative mechanisms for allocating the overall risk of a banking system to its member banks.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C15,
C8,
C81,
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G2,
G21
Corporate Risk Taking and Ownership Structure
Staff Working Paper 2010-3
Teodora Paligorova
This paper investigates the determinants of corporate risk taking. Shareholders with substantial equity ownership in a single company may advocate conservative investment policies due to greater exposure to firm risk.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
G,
G3,
G31,
G34
Labour Reallocation, Relative Prices and Productivity
Staff Working Paper 2010-2
Shutao Cao,
Danny Leung
This paper documents the rate at which labour flows between industries and between firms within industries using the most recent data available. It examines the determinants of these flows and their relationship with the productivity growth.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Labour markets,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D23,
E,
E3,
E32,
J,
J6
Search Frictions and Asset Price Volatility
Staff Working Paper 2010-1
B. Ravikumar,
Enchuan Shao
We examine the quantitative effect of search frictions in product markets on asset price volatility. We combine several features from Shi (1997) and Lagos and Wright (2002) in a model without money. Households prefer special goods and general goods.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G1,
G12
Real and Nominal Frictions within the Firm: How Lumpy Investment Matters for Price Adjustment
Staff Working Paper 2009-36
Michael K. Johnston
Real rigidities are an important feature of modern sticky price models and are policy-relevant because of their welfare consequences, but cannot be structurally identified from time series. I evaluate the plausibility of capital specificity as a source of real rigidities using a two-dimensional generalized (s,S) model calibrated to micro evidence.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E12,
E2,
E22,
E3,
E31
Estimating DSGE-Model-Consistent Trends for Use in Forecasting
Staff Working Paper 2009-35
Jean-Philippe Cayen,
Marc-André Gosselin,
Sharon Kozicki
The workhorse DSGE model used for monetary policy evaluation is designed to capture business cycle fluctuations in an optimization-based format. It is commonplace to log-linearize models and express them with variables in deviation-from-steady-state format.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
E,
E3,
E5,
E52
A Consistent Test for Multivariate Conditional Distributions
Staff Working Paper 2009-34
Fuchun Li,
Greg Tkacz
We propose a new test for a multivariate parametric conditional distribution of a vector of variables yt given a conditional vector xt.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C12,
C2,
C22
How Changes in Oil Prices Affect the Macroeconomy
Staff Working Paper 2009-33
Brian DePratto,
Carlos De Resende,
Philipp Maier
We estimate a New Keynesian general-equilibrium open economy model to examine how changes in oil prices affect the macroeconomy. Our model allows oil price changes to be transmitted through temporary demand and supply channels (affecting the output gap), as well as through persistent supply side effects (affecting trend growth).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy transmission,
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
F,
F4,
F41,
Q,
Q4,
Q43