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2399
result(s)
Ambiguity, Nominal Bond Yields and Real Bond Yields
Staff Working Paper 2018-24
Guihai Zhao
Equilibrium bond-pricing models rely on inflation being bad news for future growth to generate upward-sloping nominal yield curves. We develop a model that can generate upward-sloping nominal and real yield curves by instead using ambiguity about inflation and growth.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Interest rates
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
G,
G0,
G00,
G1,
G12
June 7, 2018
The Bank of Canada’s Financial System Survey
Financial System Review - June 2018
Guillaume Bédard-Pagé,
Ian Christensen,
Scott Kinnear,
Maxime Leboeuf
This report presents the details of a new semi-annual survey that will improve the Bank of Canada’s surveillance across the financial system and deepen efforts to engage with financial system participants. The survey collects expert opinions on the risks to and resilience of the Canadian financial system as well as on emerging trends and financial innovations. The report presents an overview of the survey and provides high-level results from the spring 2018 survey.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Financial System Review articles
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial services,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
C,
C8,
C83,
G,
G1,
G11,
G18,
G2,
G28,
G3,
G32
June 7, 2018
Covered Bonds as a Source of Funding for Banks’ Mortgage Portfolios
The author traces developments in the Canadian covered bond market. Covered bonds could be a valuable way to provide a stable and diverse source of funding, particularly for smaller banks. However, higher issuance could increase banks’ vulnerability to liquidity stress, with implications for the broader financial system. The author argues that these benefits and challenges can be balanced in a well-designed policy framework.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Financial System Review articles
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G2,
G21,
G28
June 7, 2018
Establishing a Resolution Regime for Canada’s Financial Market Infrastructures
This report highlights how an effective resolution regime promotes financial stability. It does this by ensuring that financial market infrastructures (FMIs) would be able to continue to provide their critical functions during a period of stress when an FMI’s own recovery measures were failing. The report explains the Bank of Canada’s new role as the resolution authority for FMIs, which will further bolster financial system resilience.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Financial System Review articles
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G10,
G19,
G2,
G20,
G28,
G29
Interest Rate and Renewal Risk for Mortgages
Staff Analytical Note 2018-18
Olga Bilyk,
Cameron MacDonald,
Brian Peterson
In this note, we explore two types of risk faced by holders of mortgages and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) in the context of rising interest rates: interest rate risk and renewal risk.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial institutions,
Interest rates,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
E,
E4,
E5,
G,
G2,
G21,
G28
Measuring Vulnerabilities in the Non-Financial Corporate Sector Using Industry- and Firm-Level Data
Staff Analytical Note 2018-17
Timothy Grieder,
Michal Lipsitz
Aggregate non-financial corporate debt-to-GDP has been growing rapidly in recent years and is at an all-time high. This growth began in 2011 and accelerated as the oil price shock affected the Canadian economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Monetary and financial indicators,
Recent economic and financial developments,
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0,
G01,
G3,
G32
Noisy Monetary Policy
Staff Working Paper 2018-23
Tatjana Dahlhaus,
Luca Gambetti
We introduce limited information in monetary policy. Agents receive signals from the central bank revealing new information (“news") about the future evolution of the policy rate before changes in the rate actually take place. However, the signal is disturbed by noise.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets,
Monetary policy implementation,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C18,
C3,
C32,
E,
E0,
E02,
E4,
E43,
E5,
E52
Applying the Wage-Common to Canadian Provinces
Staff Analytical Note 2018-16
Jonathan Lachaine
As at the national level, available sources of hourly wage data for Canadian provinces sometimes send conflicting signals about wage growth. This note has two objectives. First, we develop a common measure of provincial wages (the provincial wage-common) to better capture the underlying wage pressures, reflecting the overall trend across all data sources.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Labour markets,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C38,
J,
J3
Bending the Curves: Wages and Inflation
Staff Analytical Note 2018-15
Dany Brouillette,
Madigan Dockrill,
Helen Lao,
Laurence Savoie-Chabot
As economic slack continues to be absorbed and the labour market tightens, wage growth and inflation could increase faster than expected, which would suggest convexity in their Phillips curves. This note investigates whether there is convexity in the Phillips curves for Canadian wage growth and inflation by testing different empirical approaches over the post-inflation-targeting period.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E24,
E3,
E31,
J,
J3