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2360
result(s)
Can Media and Text Analytics Provide Insights into Labour Market Conditions in China?
Staff Working Paper 2018-12
Jeannine Bailliu,
Xinfen Han,
Mark Kruger,
Yu-Hsien Liu,
Sri Thanabalasingam
The official Chinese labour market indicators have been seen as problematic, given their small cyclical movement and their only-partial capture of the labour force. In our paper, we build a monthly Chinese labour market conditions index (LMCI) using text analytics applied to mainland Chinese-language newspapers over the period from 2003 to 2017.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C38,
C5,
C55,
E,
E2,
E24,
E27
Blockchain Revolution Without the Blockchain
Staff Analytical Note 2018-5
Hanna Halaburda
The technology behind blockchain has attracted a lot of attention. However, this technology is for the most part not well understood. There is no consensus on what benefits it may bring or on how it may fail.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Recent economic and financial developments,
Service sector
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
G,
G2,
O,
O3,
O33
The Macroeconomic Effects of Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model
Staff Working Paper 2018-11
Stefan Hohberger,
Romanos Priftis,
Lukas Vogel
This paper estimates an open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with Bayesian techniques to analyse the macroeconomic effects of the European Central Bank’s (ECB’s) quantitative easing (QE) programme. Using data on government debt stocks and yields across maturities, we identify the parameter governing portfolio adjustment in the private sector.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52,
F,
F4,
F41
Dismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation
Staff Working Paper 2018-10
Lise Pichette,
Marie-Noëlle Robitaille,
Mohanad Salameh,
Pierre St-Amant
We use a new real-time database for Canada to study various output gap measures. This includes recently developed measures based on models incorporating many variables as inputs (and therefore requiring real-time data for many variables).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Inflation and prices,
Potential output
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C53,
E,
E3,
E37
Is the Excess Bond Premium a Leading Indicator of Canadian Economic Activity?
Staff Analytical Note 2018-4
Maxime Leboeuf,
Daniel Hyun
This note investigates whether Canadian corporate spreads and the excess bond premium (EBP) lead Canadian economic activity. Indeed, we find that corporate spreads precede changes in real gross domestic product (GDP) in Canada over the subsequent year. The EBP accounts for most of this property. Further, an unanticipated increase in the Canadian EBP forecasts a deterioration of domestic macroeconomic conditions: a 10-basis-point increase results in a fall in both GDP and consumer price index (CPI) of 0.4 per cent and 0.1 per cent, respectively, over three years.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E4,
E44,
G,
G1,
G12
The “Too Big to Fail” Subsidy in Canada: Some Estimates
Staff Working Paper 2018-9
Patricia Palhau Mora
Implicit government guarantees of banking-sector liabilities reduce market discipline by private sector stakeholders and temper the risk sensitivity of funding costs. This potentially increases the likelihood of bailouts from taxpayers, especially in the absence of effective resolution frameworks.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G13,
G2,
G21,
G28
High-Frequency Trading and Institutional Trading Costs
Staff Working Paper 2018-8
Marie Chen,
Corey Garriott
Using data on Canadian bond futures, we examine how high-frequency traders (HFTs) interact with institutions building large positions. In contrast to recent findings, we find HFTs in the data act as small-sized liquidity suppliers, and we reject the hypothesis that they engage in back running, a predatory trading strategy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G14,
G2,
G20,
L,
L1,
L10
Adverse Selection with Heterogeneously Informed Agents
Staff Working Paper 2018-7
Mohammad Davoodalhosseini
A model of over-the-counter markets is proposed. Some asset buyers are informed in that they can identify high quality assets. Heterogeneous sellers with private information choose what type of buyers they want to trade with.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D40,
D8,
D82,
D83,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G20
The Government of Canada Debt Securities Data Set
Technical Report No. 112
Jeffrey Gao,
Francisco Rivadeneyra,
Gabriel Rodriguez Rondon
We present the daily time series of the outstanding amounts of all Government of Canada marketable debt securities from July 2001 to June 2017.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
C,
C8,
C80,
G,
G1,
G10,
H,
H6,
H63