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2399
result(s)
Covariates Hiding in the Tails
Staff Working Paper 2021-45
Milian Bachem,
Lerby Ergun,
Casper G. de Vries
We characterize the bias in cross-sectional Hill estimates caused by common underlying factors and propose two simple-to-implement remedies. To test for the presence, direction and size of the bias, we use monthly US stock returns and annual US Census county population data.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C0,
C01,
C1,
C14,
C5,
C58
A Q-Theory of Banks
Staff Working Paper 2021-44
Juliane Beganau,
Saki Bigio,
Jeremy Majerovitz,
Matías Vieyra
Using stock market data on banks, we show that the book value of loans recognizes losses with a delay. This delayed accounting is important for regulation because the requirements regulators impose are based on book values.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G2,
G21,
G3,
G32,
G33
Can the characteristics of new mortgages predict borrowers’ financial stress? Insights from the 2014 oil price decline
Staff Analytical Note 2021-22
Olga Bilyk,
Ken Chow,
Yang Xu
We study the relationship between characteristics of new mortgages and borrowers’ financial stress in Canada’s energy-intensive regions following the 2014 collapse in oil prices. We find that borrowers with limited home equity were more likely to have difficulty repaying debt.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability,
Housing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C25,
D,
D1,
D14,
G,
G2,
G21,
G5,
G51,
R,
R2,
R21
Rising US LNG Exports and Global Natural Gas Price Convergence
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-14
Robert Ialenti
We assess how rising exports of US liquefied natural gas affect the convergence of natural gas prices worldwide. Our results may have implications for the development of future LNG export capacity in Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
International topics,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
F,
F1,
F15,
K,
K4,
K41,
L,
L9,
L95
Canadian housing supply elasticities
Staff Analytical Note 2021-21
Nuno Paixão
We explain how housing supply elasticities for Canadian cities are estimated. The procedure we use exploits the systematic differences in various cities’ sensitivity to regional house-price cycles.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Housing
JEL Code(s):
R,
R1,
R14,
R3,
R31,
R5,
R52
Payment Habits During COVID-19: Evidence from High-Frequency Transaction Data
Staff Working Paper 2021-43
Tatjana Dahlhaus,
Angelika Welte
We examine how consumers have adjusted their payment habits during the COVID-19 pandemic. They seem to perform fewer transactions, spend more in each transaction, use less cash at the point of sale and withdraw cash from ATMs linked to their financial institution more often than from other ATMs.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Domestic demand and components,
Payment clearing and settlement systems,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C22,
C5,
C55,
D,
D1,
D12,
E,
E2,
E21,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E52
From He-Cession to She-Stimulus? The Labor Market Impact of Fiscal Policy Across Gender
Staff Working Paper 2021-42
Alica Ida Bonk,
Laure Simon
The effects of fiscal policy shocks on labour market outcomes across gender depend on the type of public expenditure. Women benefit most from increases in the government wage bill, while men are the main beneficiaries of higher investment spending.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Fiscal policy,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E6,
E62,
J,
J1,
J16,
J2,
J21
Reaching for yield or resiliency? Explaining the shift in Canadian pension plan portfolios
Staff Analytical Note 2021-20
Sébastien Betermier,
Nicholas Byrne,
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
Hayden Ford,
Jason Ho,
Chelsea Mitchell
“Reach for yield”—This is the commonly heard explanation for why pension plans shift their portfolios toward alternative assets. But we show that the new portfolios also hold more bonds, offer lower average returns and produce smaller and less volatile solvency deficits. These shifts are part of a broader strategy to reduce solvency risk.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G11
Household financial vulnerabilities and physical climate risks
Staff Analytical Note 2021-19
Thibaut Duprey,
Colin Jones,
Callie Symmers,
Geneviève Vallée
Natural disasters occur more often than before, potentially exposing households to financial distress. We study the intersection between household financial vulnerabilities and severe weather events.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Housing,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C21,
C3,
C38,
D,
D1,
D14,
Q,
Q5,
Q54