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2360
result(s)
Alternative Optimized Monetary Policy Rules in Multi-Sector Small Open Economies: The Role of Real Rigidities
Staff Working Paper 2010-9
Carlos De Resende,
Ali Dib,
Maral Kichian
Inflation-targeting central banks around the world often state their inflation objectives with regard to the consumer price index (CPI). Yet the literature on optimal monetary policy based on models with nominal rigidities and more than one sector suggests that CPI inflation is not always the best choice from a social welfare perspective.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets,
Inflation: costs and benefits,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E5,
E52,
F,
F3,
F4
Market Expectations and Option Prices: Evidence for the Can$/US$ Exchange Rate
Staff Discussion Paper 2010-2
Alejandro García,
Andrei Prokopiw
Security prices contain valuable information that can be used to make a wide variety of economic decisions. To extract this information, a model is required that relates market prices to the desired information, and that ideally can be implemented using timely and low-cost methods.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rates,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
C,
C0,
C00,
C02,
G,
G1,
G13
March 9, 2010
Inflation Expectations and the Conduct of Monetary Policy: A Review of Recent Evidence and Experience
This article explores the role of inflation expectations in the conduct of monetary policy. It reviews the various measures of inflation expectations used by central banks, including surveys and market-based indicators, and considers their advantages and disadvantages. It examines the critical role of inflation expectations in the framework that central banks use to understand, forecast, and control inflation. It also looks at their role as an indicator of central bank credibility. The behaviour of inflation expectations over the past two years is analyzed and policy conclusions are offered.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy implementation
March 9, 2010
Monetary Policy Rules in an Uncertain Environment
This article examines recent research on the influence of various forms of economic uncertainty on the performance of different classes of monetary policy rules: from simple rules to fully optimal monetary policy under commitment. The authors explain why uncertainty matters in the design of monetary policy rules and provide quantitative examples from the recent literature. They also present results for several policy rules in ToTEM, the Bank of Canada's main model for projection and analysis, including rules that respond to price level, rather than to inflation.
March 9, 2010
An Uncertain Past: Data Revisions and Monetary Policy in Canada
Many important economic variables are subject to revision. This article explains how, when, and why such revisions occur; how revisions to Canadian gross domestic product (GDP) compare with GDP revisions in some other countries; which GDP components are subject to the largest revisions; and how data revisions can affect policy decisions. The author finds that revisions to Canadian GDP tend to be smaller, on average, than those of some other countries, and that among the GDP components, exports and imports are most heavily revised.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Monetary policy and uncertainty
Introducing the Bank of Canada's Projection Model for the Global Economy
Technical Report No. 99
Jeannine Bailliu,
Patrick Blagrave,
James Rossiter
To complement its existing set of tools to analyze and forecast developments in the global economy, the Bank of Canada recently developed a version of the Global Projection Model (GPM) jointly with staff at the International Monetary Fund.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C68,
E,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E37,
F,
F0,
F01
Price Level Targeting: What Is the Right Price?
Staff Working Paper 2010-8
Malik Shukayev,
Alexander Ueberfeldt
Various papers have suggested that Price-Level targeting is a welfare improving policy relative to Inflation targeting. From a practical standpoint, this raises an important yet unanswered question: What is the optimal price index to target?
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52
Time Variation in Okun's Law: A Canada and U.S. Comparison
Staff Working Paper 2010-7
Kimberly Beaton
This article investigates the stability of Okun's law for Canada and the United States using a time varying parameter approach. Time variation is modeled as driftless random walks and is estimated using the median unbiased estimator approach developed by Stock and Watson (1998).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E24,
J,
J0,
J00
Assembling a Real-Financial Micro-Dataset for Canadian Households
Staff Working Paper 2010-6
Umar Faruqui
The lack of consolidated Canadian micro data on household balance sheets and expenditures has been an important impediment to empirical research into real-financial linkages in the Canadian household sector. Our paper attempts to fill this data gap by merging household balance sheet data from the Canadian Financial Monitor survey with household expenditure data from the Survey of Household Spending.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
C,
C8,
C81,
D,
D1,
D10