August 18, 2011
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result(s)
August 18, 2011
Mortgage Debt and Procyclicality in the Housing Market
This article focuses on the role that loans backed by housing collateral play in amplifying housing booms and, more generally, procyclicality in the housing market. The author uses a model developed to include borrower and lender households, as well as a housing market, to examine the impact that altering the loan-to-value ratio (either permanently or countercyclically) might have on the volatility of house prices and mortgage debt.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing
August 18, 2011
Developing a Medium-Term Debt-Management Strategy for the Government of Canada
As the Government of Canada’s fiscal agent, the Bank of Canada provides strategic policy advice on the management of the government’s debt, in addition to being responsible for conducting debt-management operations. In this article, the authors review the evolution of the debt strategy over the past 20 years and outline the complex process of developing a sound strategy that balances various cost and risk considerations. This includes an examination of the tools and practices used to develop the new medium-term debt-management strategy, such as the modelling approach involved, market consultations and various debt-management metrics.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Economic models
Analyzing Default Risk and Liquidity Demand during a Financial Crisis: The Case of Canada
Staff Working Paper 2011-17
Jason Allen,
Ali Hortaçsu,
Jakub Kastl
This paper explores the reliability of using prices of credit default swap contracts (CDS) as indicators of default probabilities during the 2007/2008 financial crisis.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E58,
G,
G0,
G01,
G2,
G28
The Impact of Operational Events on the Network Structure of the LVTS
Staff Discussion Paper 2011-7
Tom Roberts
The author uses a quantitative network analysis approach to assess how participants in the Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) respond to partial outages at other banks.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C4,
C49,
G,
G1,
G14,
G2,
G21
Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil
Staff Working Paper 2011-16
Christiane Baumeister,
Lutz Kilian
We construct a monthly real-time data set consisting of vintages for 1991.1-2010.12 that is suitable for generating forecasts of the real price of oil from a variety of models.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C53,
E,
E3,
E32,
Q,
Q4,
Q43
The Role of Financial Speculation in Driving the Price of Crude Oil
Staff Discussion Paper 2011-6
Ron Alquist,
Olivier Gervais
Over the past 10 years, financial firms have increased the size of their positions in the oil futures market. At the same time, oil prices have increased dramatically.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
International topics
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
Q,
Q4,
Q41