Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1324
result(s)
Estimated DGE Models and Forecasting Accuracy: A Preliminary Investigation with Canadian Data
Staff Working Paper 2002-18
Kevin Moran,
Veronika Dolar
This paper applies the hybrid dynamic general-equilibrium, vector autoregressive (DGE-VAR) model developed by Ireland (1999) to Canadian time series.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E37
Does Exchange Rate Policy Matter for Growth?
Staff Working Paper 2002-17
Jeannine Bailliu,
Robert Lafrance,
Jean-François Perrault
Previous studies on whether the nature of the exchange rate regime influences a country's medium-term growth performance have been based on a tripartite classification scheme that distinguishes between pegged, intermediate, and flexible exchange rate regimes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rate regimes,
Exchange rates,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
F33,
F4,
F43,
O,
O4,
O40
A Market Microstructure Analysis of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2002-16
Chris D'Souza
This paper clarifies the role and the impact of foreign exchange dealers in the relationship between foreign exchange intervention and nominal exchange rates using a unique dataset that disaggregates trades by dealer and by type of trade.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G14,
G2,
G21
Corporate Bond Spreads and the Business Cycle
Staff Working Paper 2002-15
Zhiwei Zhang
This paper examines the predictive power of credit spreads from the corporate bond market. The high-yield bond spread and investment-grade spread can explain 68 per cent and 42 per cent of output variations one year ahead, while the term spread based on government debts can explain only 12 per cent of them.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Monetary and financial indicators,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E5,
G,
G1
Entrepreneurship, Inequality, and Taxation
Staff Working Paper 2002-14
Césaire Meh
This paper confirms the conjecture that the evaluation of tax policy leads to very different conclusions once the role of entrepreneurs is considered. Contrary to previous literature, the author finds that switching from a progressive to a proportional income tax system has a negligible effect on wealth inequality in the United States.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Fiscal policy
JEL Code(s):
D,
D3,
D31,
E,
E6,
E62,
H,
H2,
H20,
H23
Towards a More Complete Debt Strategy Simulation Framework
Staff Working Paper 2002-13
David Bolder
An effective technique governments use to evaluate the desirability of different financing strategies involves stochastic simulation. This approach requires the postulation of the future dynamics of key macroeconomic variables and the use of those variables in the construction of a debt charge distribution for each individual financing strategy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Interest rates
JEL Code(s):
C,
C0,
C5,
G,
G0
Modelling Financial Instability: A Survey of the Literature
Staff Working Paper 2002-12
Alexandra Lai
The magnitude and frequency of recent financial crises underscore the importance of understanding financial instability for the purpose of crisis prevention and crisis management.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial services
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
G20,
G21,
G28
Risk, Entropy, and the Transformation of Distributions
Staff Working Paper 2002-11
Mark Reesor,
Don McLeish
The exponential family, relative entropy, and distortion are methods of transforming probability distributions. We establish a link between those methods, focusing on the relation between relative entropy and distortion.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C0,
C1,
D,
D8,
G,
G0
La fiabilité des estimations de l'écart de production au Canada
Staff Working Paper 2002-10
Jean-Philippe Cayen,
Simon van Norden
In this paper, we measure, with Canadian data, the scope of the revisions to real-time estimates of the output gap generated with several univariate and multivariate techniques. We also make an empirical evaluation of the usefulness of the output gap estimates for predicting inflation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Potential output
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32