Staff analytical notes are short articles that focus on topical issues relevant to the current economic and financial context.
234
result(s)
What has been putting upward pressure on CORRA?
Staff Analytical Note 2024-4
Boran Plong,
Neil Maru
From the autumn of 2023 into early 2024, the Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average (CORRA), a measure of the cost of overnight general collateral Canadian dollar repos, was consistently well above the Bank’s target for the overnight rate. We find that, among several factors, long bond positions that require repo financing are the main driver of the recent upward pressure on CORRA.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Interest rates,
Lender of last resort,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D5,
D53,
E,
E4,
E43,
E44,
E5,
E52,
G,
G1,
G12
How changes in the share of constrained households affect the effectiveness of monetary policy
Staff Analytical Note 2024-3
Felipe Alves,
Sushant Acharya
We measure how the change in the share of constrained households in Canada following the COVID-19 recession has impacted the effectiveness of monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E4,
E40,
E5,
E50
Market structure of cryptoasset exchanges: Introduction, challenges and emerging trends
Staff Analytical Note 2024-2
Vladimir Skavysh,
Jacob Sharples,
Sofia Priazhkina,
Salman H. Hasham
This paper provides an overview of cryptoasset exchanges. We contrast their design with exchanges in traditional financial markets and discuss emerging regulatory trends and innovations aimed at solving the problems cryptoasset exchanges face.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G15,
L,
L1
Modelling Canadian mortgage debt and payments in a semi-structural model
Staff Analytical Note 2024-1
Fares Bounajm,
Austin McWhirter
We show how Canadian mortgage debt dynamics can be modelled in a semi-structural macroeconomic model, such as the Bank of Canada’s LENS. The model we propose accounts for Canada’s unique mortgage debt structure.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E27,
E4,
E43,
E47,
G,
G5,
G51
The impact of higher interest rates on mortgage payments
Staff Analytical Note 2023-19
Maria teNyenhuis,
Adam Su
We investigate how the increase in interest rates since early 2022 is affecting mortgage payments. By November 2023, less than half of mortgage holders had faced higher payments. Many borrowers will see a sizable increase in payments at renewal, although income growth could help mitigate the impact.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial institutions,
Interest rates,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
E,
E4,
E5,
G,
G2,
G21
Finding the balance—measuring risks to inflation and to GDP growth
Staff Analytical Note 2023-18
Bruno Feunou,
James Kyeong
Using our new quantitative tool, we show how the risks to the inflation and growth outlooks have evolved over the course of 2023.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
C5,
C58,
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G1,
G17
Assessing the effects of higher immigration on the Canadian economy and inflation
Staff Analytical Note 2023-17
Julien Champagne,
Erik Ens,
Xing Guo,
Olena Kostyshyna,
Alexander Lam,
Corinne Luu,
Sarah Miller,
Patrick Sabourin,
Joshua Slive,
Temel Taskin,
Jaime Trujillo,
Shu Lin Wee
We assess the complex macroeconomic implications of Canada’s recent population increases. We find that newcomers significantly boost the non-inflationary, potential growth of the economy, but existing imbalances in the housing sector may be exacerbated. Greater housing supply is needed to complement the long-term economic benefits of population growth.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Domestic demand and components,
Housing,
Inflation and prices,
Labour markets,
Potential output,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
A,
A1,
A10,
E,
E2,
E20,
E3,
E31,
J,
J1,
J11,
J15
Machine learning for economics research: when, what and how
Staff Analytical Note 2023-16
Ajit Desai
This article reviews selected papers that use machine learning for economics research and policy analysis. Our review highlights when machine learning is used in economics, the commonly preferred models and how those models are used.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
A,
A1,
A10,
B,
B2,
B23,
C,
C4,
C45,
C5,
C55
Decentralized finance: Innovations and challenges
Staff Analytical Note 2023-15
Jonathan Chiu,
Hanna Yu
Decentralized finance surged in popularity around 2020. We explore its value and limitations and highlight some potential regulatory concerns.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial stability,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G2