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2358
result(s)
Fiscal Policy in the Age of COVID-19: Does It “Get in All of the Cracks”?
Staff Working Paper 2022-45
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas,
Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan,
Veronika Penciakova,
Nicholas Sander
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an atypical recession in which some sectors of the economy boomed and others collapsed. This required a unique fiscal policy reaction to both support firms and stimulate activity in sectors with slack. Was fiscal policy able to get where it was needed? Mostly, yes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Firm dynamics,
Fiscal policy,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
D,
D5,
D57,
E,
E6,
E62,
F,
F4,
F41
Considerations for the allocation of non-default losses by financial market infrastructures
Staff Analytical Note 2022-16
Daniele Costanzo,
Radoslav Raykov
Non-default losses of financial market infrastructures (FMIs) have gained attention due to their potential impacts on FMIs and FMI participants, and the lack of a common approach to address them. A key question is, who should absorb these losses?
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
G23,
G28,
G3,
G32,
G33
Private Digital Cryptoassets as Investment? Bitcoin Ownership and Use in Canada, 2016-2021
Staff Working Paper 2022-44
Daniela Balutel,
Walter Engert,
Christopher Henry,
Kim Huynh,
Marcel Voia
We report on the dynamics of Bitcoin awareness and ownership from 2016 to 2021, using the Bank of Canada's Bitcoin Omnibus Surveys (BTCOS). Our analysis also helps understand Bitcoin owners who adopted during the COVID-19 and how they differ from long-term owners.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C12,
E,
E4,
O,
O5,
O51
Grasping De(centralized) Fi(nance) Through the Lens of Economic Theory
Staff Working Paper 2022-43
Jonathan Chiu,
Charles M. Kahn,
Thorsten Koeppl
We analyze the value proposition and limitations of decentralized finance (DeFi). Based on a distributed ledger and smart contracts, DeFi can guarantee the execution of financial contracts, potentially lowering the costs of intermediation and improving financial inclusion.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2
Examining recent revisions to CPI-common
Staff Analytical Note 2022-15
Elyse Sullivan
Unusually large revisions to CPI-common in recent months stem from increased common movements across consumer price index components amid broad inflationary pressures. With recent revisions, CPI-common is more closely aligned with the Bank of Canada’s other two preferred measures of core inflation. However, caution is necessary when interpreting real-time estimates of CPI-common in the current environment.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C13,
C18,
E,
E3,
E31
Archetypes for a retail CBDC
Staff Analytical Note 2022-14
Sriram Darbha
A variety of technology designs could support retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) systems. We develop five archetypes of CBDC systems, outline their characteristics and discuss their trade-offs. This work serves as a framework to analyze and compare different designs, independent of vendor, platform and implementation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Digital currencies and fintech
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E51,
O,
O3
Forecasting Banks’ Corporate Loan Losses Under Stress: A New Corporate Default Model
Technical Report No. 122
Gabriel Bruneau,
Thibaut Duprey,
Ruben Hipp
We present a new corporate default model, one of the building blocks of the Bank of Canada’s bank stress-testing infrastructure. The model is used to forecast corporate loan losses of the Canadian banking sector under stress.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Technical reports
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial institutions,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C22,
C5,
C52,
C53,
G,
G1,
G17,
G2,
G21,
G28
Harnessing the benefit of state-contingent forward guidance
Staff Analytical Note 2022-13
Vivian Chu,
Yang Zhang
A low level of the neutral rate of interest increases the likelihood that a central bank’s policy rate will reach its effective lower bound (ELB) in future economic downturns. In a low neutral rate environment, using an extended monetary policy toolkit including forward guidance helps address the ELB challenge. Using the Bank’s Terms-of-Trade Economic Model, we assess the benefits and limitations of a state-contingent forward guidance implemented within a flexible inflation targeting framework.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Economic models,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E37,
E4,
E5,
E52,
E58
Behavioral Learning Equilibria in New Keynesian Models
Staff Working Paper 2022-42
Cars Hommes,
Kostas Mavromatis,
Tolga Özden,
Mei Zhu
We introduce behavioral learning equilibria (BLE) into DSGE models with boundedly rational agents using simple but optimal first order autoregressive forecasting rules. The Smets-Wouters DSGE model with BLE is estimated and fits well with inflation survey expectations. As a policy application, we show that learning requires a lower degree of interest rate smoothing.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C11,
D,
D8,
D83,
D84,
E,
E3,
E6,
E62