Find Bank of Canada research by keyword, author, content type, JEL code, topic or date of publication.
Receive notification by email whenever new research is added to the website.
2399
result(s)
Third-Country Effects of U.S. Immigration Policy
Staff Working Paper 2023-60
Agostina Brinatti,
Xing Guo
We study how the tightening of US immigration policy affects the Canadian economy and American workers. After the reduction in H-1B visa admissions in 2017, more immigrants came to Canada, and Canadian firms expanded their employment, sales and exports. The close trade link between the United States and Canada dampens the benefit American workers derive from this policy change.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
International topics,
Labour markets,
Recent economic and financial developments,
Trade integration
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F16,
F2,
F22,
J,
J6,
J61
Perceived versus Calibrated Income Risks in Heterogeneous-Agent Consumption Models
Staff Working Paper 2023-59
Tao Wang
Perceived income risks reported in a survey of consumer expectations are more heterogeneous and, on average, lower than indirectly calibrated risks based on panel data. They prove to be one explanation for why a large fraction of households hold very little liquid savings and why accumulated wealth is widely unequal across households.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy and uncertainty
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D14,
E,
E2,
E21,
E7,
E71,
G,
G5,
G51
Climate-Related Flood Risk to Residential Lending Portfolios in Canada
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-33
Craig Johnston,
Geneviève Vallée,
Hossein Hosseini,
Brett Lindsay,
Miguel Molico,
Marie-Christine Tremblay,
Aidan Witts
We assess the potential financial risks of current and projected flooding caused by extreme weather events in Canada. We focus on the residential real estate secured lending (RESL) portfolios of Canadian financial institutions (FIs) because RESL portfolios are an important component of FIs’ balance sheets and because the assets used to secure such loans are immobile and susceptible to climate-related extreme weather events.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Climate change,
Credit risk management,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial institutions,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C8,
C81,
G,
G2,
G21,
Q,
Q5,
Q54
Understanding the Systemic Implications of Climate Transition Risk: Applying a Framework Using Canadian Financial System Data
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-32
Gabriel Bruneau,
Javier Ojea Ferreiro,
Andrew Plummer,
Marie-Christine Tremblay,
Aidan Witts
Our study aims to gain insight on financial stability and climate transition risk. We develop a methodological framework that captures the direct effects of a stressful climate transition shock as well as the indirect—or systemic—implications of these direct effects. We apply this framework using data from the Canadian financial system.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Economic models,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C63,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G20,
Q,
Q5,
Q54
The impact of higher interest rates on mortgage payments
Staff Analytical Note 2023-19
Maria teNyenhuis,
Adam Su
We investigate how the increase in interest rates since early 2022 is affecting mortgage payments. By November 2023, less than half of mortgage holders had faced higher payments. Many borrowers will see a sizable increase in payments at renewal, although income growth could help mitigate the impact.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial institutions,
Interest rates,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
E,
E4,
E5,
G,
G2,
G21
Finding the balance—measuring risks to inflation and to GDP growth
Staff Analytical Note 2023-18
Bruno Feunou,
James Kyeong
Using our new quantitative tool, we show how the risks to the inflation and growth outlooks have evolved over the course of 2023.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
C5,
C58,
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G1,
G17
Supporting the Transition to Net-Zero Emissions: The Evolving Role of Central Banks
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-31
Karen McGuinness
While climate change was largely tackled by government policies in the past, central banks are increasingly grappling with the risks climate change poses. They are evaluating their operational policies to reflect these risks and the transition to a net-zero economy. This paper explores the trade-offs and considerations central banks face.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Climate change,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
D,
D5,
D53,
E,
E5,
E58,
E6,
E63,
G,
G3,
G32,
Q,
Q5,
Q54
Central Bank Crisis Interventions: A Review of the Recent Literature on Potential Costs
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-30
Patrick Aldridge,
David Cimon,
Rishi Vala
Central banks’ actions to stabilize financial markets and implement monetary policy during crises may come with costs and side effects. We provide a literature review of these costs and discuss measures that may mitigate the negative impacts of crisis actions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Lender of last resort
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E58,
G,
G1,
G10,
G2,
G20
Making It Real: Bringing Research Models into Central Bank Projections
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-29
Marc-André Gosselin,
Sharon Kozicki
Macroeconomic projections and risk analyses play an important role in guiding monetary policy decisions. Models are integral to this process. This paper discusses how the Bank of Canada brings research models and lessons learned from those models into the central bank projection environment.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
C5,
C51,
E,
E3,
E37,
E4,
E47,
E5,
E52