Posts

• November 30, 2018

  Research Update - November 2018

  This monthly newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
• November 29, 2018

  Launch of the new exhibition A Noteworthy Woman

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Bank of Canada Museum Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins delivers remarks at the launch of the new Bank of Canada Museum exhibition A Noteworthy Woman, which depicts the life of Viola Desmond, the first Canadian woman to appear on a regular bank note.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
• November 29, 2018

  New exhibition on Viola Desmond opens at Bank of Canada Museum

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada Museum is inviting Canadians of all ages to visit the new exhibition A Noteworthy Woman, which depicts the life of Viola Desmond, an icon of the human rights and social justice movement in Canada and the first Canadian woman to appear on a regular bank note.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases

• The Trade War in Numbers

  Staff Working Paper 2018-57 Karyne B. Charbonneau, Anthony Landry

  We build upon new developments in the international trade literature to isolate and quantify the long-run economic impacts of tariff changes on the United States and the global economy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration JEL Code(s): F, F1, F11, F13, F14, F15, F5, F50, F6, F62, F68

• The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2018-56 Lutz Kilian, Xiaoqing Zhou

  How do global oil price shocks spread through Canada’s economy? With Canada’s regionally diverse economy in mind, we explore the implications of oil price shocks for Canadian housing markets and regional economies. We show that the belief that oil price shocks only matter in oil-rich regions is false.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Housing, International topics, Labour markets, Regional economic developments JEL Code(s): F, F4, F43, Q, Q3, Q33, Q4, Q43, R, R1, R12, R3, R31
• November 26, 2018

  Bank of Canada announces finalists for the fourth annual Governor’s Challenge

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada today announced the five finalist teams in the 2018–19 edition of The Governor’s Challenge, a competition where university students simulate the role of advisor to the Bank’s Governing Council.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Source(s): The Governor's Challenge

• Markets Look Beyond the Headline

  Staff Analytical Note 2018-37 Bruno Feunou, James Kyeong, Raisa Leiderman

  Many reports and analyses interpret the release of new economic data based on the headline surprise—for instance, total inflation, real GDP growth and the unemployment rate. However, we find that headline news alone cannot adequately explain the responses of market prices to new information. Rather, market prices react more strongly, on average, to non-headline news such as the composition of GDP growth, quality of jobs created and revisions to past data. Thus, tracking the impact of non-headline information released on the news day is crucial in analyzing how markets interpret and react to new economic data.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Asset pricing, Exchange rates, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, G, G1, G12, G14
• November 23, 2018

  Expansion of Assets the Bank of Canada will Acquire for Balance Sheet Management Purposes

  As part of the regular management of its balance sheet, the Bank of Canada acquires securities to offset its liabilities, which consist mainly of bank notes in circulation and Government of Canada deposits.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices

• An Alternative Estimate of Canadian Potential Output: The Multivariate State-Space Framework

  Staff Discussion Paper 2018-14 Lise Pichette, Maria Bernier, Marie-Noëlle Robitaille

  In this paper, we extend the state-space methodology proposed by Blagrave et al. (2015) and decompose Canadian potential output into trend labour productivity and trend labour input. As in Blagrave et al. (2015), we include output growth and inflation expectations from consensus forecasts to help refine our estimates.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Economic models, Potential output JEL Code(s): C, C5, E, E0, E5
• November 22, 2018

  Balancing Act: the Link between Monetary Policy and Financial Stability

  Presentation Carolyn A. Wilkins Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation National Housing Conference Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses how monetary and macroprudential policies interact with each other and how they affect financial stability.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Presentations