E2 - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment

• Modelling and Forecasting Housing Investment: The Case of Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2005-41 Frédérick Demers

  The author proposes and evaluates econometric models that try to explain and forecast real quarterly housing expenditures in Canada. Structural and leading-indicator models of the Canadian housing sector are described.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models JEL Code(s): E, E2, E27, R, R2, R21

• MUSE: The Bank of Canada's New Projection Model of the U.S. Economy

  Technical Report No. 96 Marc-André Gosselin, René Lalonde

  The analysis and forecasting of developments in the U.S. economy have always played a critical role in the formulation of Canadian economic and financial policy. Thus, the Bank places considerable importance on generating internal forecasts of U.S. economic activity as an input to the Canadian projection.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, E, E1, E17, E2, E27, E3, E37, F, F1, F17

• Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics: Evidence from a Two-Dimensional Labour Supply Model with Money

  Staff Working Paper 2005-30 Ali Dib, Louis Phaneuf

  The hypothesis of intertemporal substitution in labour supply has a history of empirical failure when confronted with aggregate time-series data.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Labour markets JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, E, E2, E24, E3, E32, J, J2, J22

• Uninsured Idiosyncratic Production Risk with Borrowing Constraints

  Staff Working Paper 2005-26 Francisco Covas

  The author analyzes a general-equilibrium model of a heterogeneous agents economy in which the agents are subject to borrowing constraints and uninsurable idiosyncratic production risk.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Financial institutions, Financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, G, G1, G11, M, M1, M13

• La fonction de production et les données canadiennes

  Staff Working Paper 2005-20 Patrick Perrier

  This study has two aspects. First, the author examines the theoretical properties of the constant elasticity of substitution (CES) production function and the implications of this formulation for the properties of a structural macroeconomic model.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models JEL Code(s): D, D2, D24, E, E2, E23, O, O4, O40

• Labour Market Adjustments to Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Evidence from Canadian Manufacturing Industries

  Staff Working Paper 2005-14 Danny Leung, Terence Yuen

  The authors provide some of the first empirical evidence on labour market adjustments to exchange rate movements in Canadian manufacturing industries.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Labour markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E23, F, F4