C4 - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics

• The Application of Artificial Neural Networks to Exchange Rate Forecasting: The Role of Market Microstructure Variables

  Staff Working Paper 2000-23 Nikola Gradojevic, Jing Yang

  Artificial neural networks (ANN) are employed for high-frequency Canada/U.S. dollar exchange rate forecasting. ANN outperform random walk and linear models in a number of recursive out-of- sample forecasts.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates JEL Code(s): C, C4, C45, F, F3, F31

• Steps in Applying Extreme Value Theory to Finance: A Review

  Staff Working Paper 2000-20 Younes Bensalah

  Extreme value theory (EVT) has been applied in fields such as hydrology and insurance. It is a tool used to consider probabilities associated with extreme and thus rare events. EVT is useful in modelling the impact of crashes or situations of extreme stress on investor portfolios.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C0, C4, C5, G, G1