Staff working papers

• Capital Flows to Developing Countries: Is There an Allocation Puzzle?

  Staff Working Paper 2016-53 Josef Schroth

  Foreign direct investment inflows are positively related to growth across developing countries—but so are savings in excess of investment. I develop an explanation for this well-established puzzle by focusing on the limited availability of consumer credit in developing countries together with general equilibrium effects.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Foreign reserves management, Interest rates, International financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E2, E21, F, F4, F43

• Supervising Financial Regulators

  Staff Working Paper 2016-52 Josef Schroth

  How much discretion should local financial regulators in a banking union have in accommodating local credit demand? I analyze this question in an economy where local regulators privately observe expected output from high lending. They do not fully internalize default costs from high lending since deposit insurance cannot be priced fairly.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Regional economic developments JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, G, G2, G28, H, H7

• Firm-Specific Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations

  Staff Working Paper 2016-51 Leonid Karasik, Danny Leung, Ben Tomlin

  In order to understand what drives aggregate fluctuations, many macroeconomic models point to aggregate shocks and discount the contribution of firm-specific shocks. Recent research from other developed countries, however, has found that aggregate fluctuations are in part driven by idiosyncratic shocks to large firms.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Firm dynamics, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, E23, E24, E3, L, L6

• Broker Routing Decisions in Limit Order Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2016-50 David Cimon

  The primary focus of this paper is to study conflict of interest in the brokerage market. Brokers face a conflict of interest when the commissions they receive from investors differ from the costs imposed by different trading venues.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G2, G24, G28

• Monetary Policy Tradeoffs Between Financial Stability and Price Stability

  Staff Working Paper 2016-49 Malik Shukayev, Alexander Ueberfeldt

  We analyze the impact of interest rate policy on financial stability in an environment where banks can experience runs on their short-term liabilities, forcing them to sell assets at fire-sale prices.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial stability, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): D, D6, D62, E, E3, E32, E4, E44, G, G0, G01

• Business Cycles in Small, Open Economies: Evidence from Panel Data Between 1900 and 2013

  Staff Working Paper 2016-48 Thuy Lan Nguyen, Wataru Miyamoto

  Using a novel data set for 17 countries dating from 1900 to 2013, we characterize business cycles in both small developed and developing countries in a model with financial frictions and a common shock structure. We estimate the model jointly for these 17 countries using Bayesian methods.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Economic models, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E3, E32, F, F4, F41, F44

• Managing Risk Taking with Interest Rate Policy and Macroprudential Regulations

  Staff Working Paper 2016-47 Simona Cociuba, Malik Shukayev, Alexander Ueberfeldt

  We develop a model in which a financial intermediary’s investment in risky assets—risk taking—is excessive due to limited liability and deposit insurance and characterize the policy tools that implement efficient risk taking.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial system regulation and policies, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E5, E52, G, G1, G11, G18