Staff working papers

• The Canadian Experience with Weighted Monetary Aggregates

  Staff Working Paper 1995-10 David Longworth, Joseph Atta-Mensah

  This paper compares the empirical performance of Canadian weighted monetary aggregates (in particular, Fisher ideal aggregates) with the current summation aggregates, for their information content and forecasting performance in terms of prices, real output and nominal spending for the period 1971Q1 to 1989Q3. The properties of money-demand equations for these aggregates, particularly their temporal stability, […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary aggregates

• Selection of the Truncation Lag in Structural VARs (or VECMs) with Long-Run Restrictions

  Staff Working Paper 1995-9 Alain DeSerres, Alain Guay

  authors examine the issue of lag-length selection in the context of a structural vector autoregression (VAR) and a vector error-correction model with long-run restrictions. First, they show that imposing long-run restrictions implies, in general, a moving-average (MA) component in the stationary multivariate representation. Then they examine the sensitivity of estimates of the permanent and transitory […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods