Staff research

• Real Effects of Collapsing Exchange Rate Regimes: An Application to Mexico

  Staff Working Paper 1999-10 Patrick Osakwe, Lawrence L. Schembri

  This paper examines the impact of a collapsing exchange rate regime on output in an open economy in which shocks to capital flows and exports predominate. A sticky-price rational expectations model is used to compare the variability of output under the collapsing regime to that under alternative fixed and flexible regimes. Output is found to […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F4, F41

• Measuring Potential Output within a State-Space Framework

  Staff Working Paper 1999-9 Maral Kichian

  In this paper we measure potential output (and consequently the output gap) using state-space models. Given that the estimated output gap is used as an indicator to measure the extent of inflationary pressures in the economy, we evaluate the use of such models for the implementation of monetary policy. Our starting point is the Gerlach […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Potential output JEL Code(s): D, D2, D24

• Monetary Rules When Economic Behaviour Changes

  Staff Working Paper 1999-8 Robert Amano, Donald Coletti, Tiff Macklem

  This paper examines the implications of changes in economic behaviour for simple inflation-forecast–based monetary rules of the type currently used at two inflation-targeting central banks. Three types of changes in economic behaviour are considered, changes that are motivated by developments in monetary and fiscal policy in the 1990s: changes in monetary policy credibility, changes in […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Credibility, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52

• The Quantity of Money and Monetary Policy

  Staff Working Paper 1999-5 David Laidler

  The relationships among the quantity theory of money, monetarism and policy regimes based on money-growth and inflation targeting are briefly discussed as a prelude to an exposition of alternative views of money's role in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. The passive-money view treats the money supply as an endogenous variable that plays no role […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary aggregates, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E5, E51, E52

• Inflation Targeting under Uncertainty

  Technical Report No. 85 Gabriel Srour

  This paper studies the implications of certain kinds of uncertainty for monetary policy. It first describes the optimum policy rule in a simple model of the transmission mechanism as in Ball and Svensson.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52