Posts

• Central Bank Communication or the Media’s Interpretation: What Moves Markets?

  Staff Working Paper 2012-9 Scott Hendry

  The goal of this paper is to investigate what type of information from Bank of Canada communication statements or the market commentary based on these statements has a significant effect on the volatility or level of returns in a short-term interest rate market.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Asset pricing, Financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58, G, G1, G14

• A Framework to Assess Vulnerabilities Arising from Household Indebtedness Using Microdata

  Staff Discussion Paper 2012-3 Ramdane Djoudad

  Rising levels of household indebtedness have created concerns about the vulnerabilities of households to adverse economic shocks and the impact on financial stability. To assess these risks, the author presents a formal stress-testing framework that uses microdata to simulate how various economic shocks affect the distribution of the debt-service ratio (DSR) for the household sector.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C1, C15, C3, C31, D, D1, D14, E, E5, E51

• Growth in Emerging Market Economies and the Commodity Boom of 2003–2008: Evidence from Growth Forecast Revisions

  Staff Working Paper 2012-8 Elif Arbatli, Garima Vasishtha

  Demand for industrial raw materials from emerging economies, particularly emerging Asia, is widely believed to have fueled the surge in oil and industrial commodity prices during 2002-2008. The paper first presents a simple storage model in which commodity prices respond to market participant’s changing expectations of the future macroeconomic environment.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, International topics JEL Code(s): Q, Q4, Q41, Q43

• Short-Term Forecasting of the Japanese Economy Using Factor Models

  Staff Working Paper 2012-7 Claudia Godbout, Marco J. Lombardi

  While the usefulness of factor models has been acknowledged over recent years, little attention has been devoted to the forecasting power of these models for the Japanese economy. In this paper, we aim at assessing the relative performance of factor models over different samples, including the recent financial crisis.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C5, C50, C53, E, E3, E37, E4, E47

• Macroprudential Rules and Monetary Policy when Financial Frictions Matter

  Staff Working Paper 2012-6 Jeannine Bailliu, Césaire Meh, Yahong Zhang

  This paper examines the interaction between monetary policy and macroprudential policy and whether policy makers should respond to financial imbalances. To address this issue, we build a dynamic general equilibrium model that features financial market frictions and financial shocks as well as standard macroeconomic shocks.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets, Financial stability, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E4, E42, E5, E50, E6, E60
• February 24, 2012

  Weekly Financial Statistics - 24 February 2012

  Content Type(s): Publications, Historical: Weekly Financial Statistics
• February 24, 2012

  A Monetary Policy Framework for All Seasons

  Remarks Mark Carney U.S. Monetary Policy Forum New York, New York

  Governor Mark Carney reviews the advantages of Canada’s flexible inflation-targeting regime.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
• February 24, 2012

  Flexible Inflation Targeting Appropriate Framework for All Seasons, Says Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney

  Media Relations New York, New York

  In a speech today to the U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney reviewed the advantages of Canada’s flexible inflation-targeting regime. Citing a “complex and continuously evolving world that no one can predict with certainty,” Governor Carney said that flexible inflation targeting “provides a robust framework for all seasons.” A flexible inflation-targeting […]

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
• February 24, 2012

  Banking and Financial Statistics - February 2012

  Content Type(s): Publications, Historical: Banking and Financial Statistics
• February 23, 2012

  Bank of Canada Review - Winter 2011-2012

  

  This special issue, “Household Finances and Financial Stability,” examines recent Bank of Canada research into two interrelated facts: the steady increase in Canadian household indebtedness in recent decades, and the upward trend in real house prices in Canada since 2000. Rising house prices could lead to the accumulation of debt, and abrupt movements in either factor can influence the financial health of households, which are a central part of Canada’s economy.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review