November 19, 2019
Trade integration
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The Impact of a Trade War: Assessment of the Current Tariffs and Alternative Scenarios
This note uses Charbonneau and Landry’s (2018) framework to assess the direct impact of the current trade tensions on the Canadian and global economies, as well as possible implications if the conflict escalates further. Overall, my findings show that the estimated impact of current tariffs on real gross domestic product (GDP) remains relatively small, which is in line with the literature on gains from trade, but the impact on trade is much larger. -
Reassessing Trade Barriers with Global Value Chains
This paper provides a systematic, quantitative analysis of the short-run and long-run effects of various trade-restricting policies in the presence of global value chains and multinational production. -
May 6, 2019
Risk Sharing, Flexibility and the Future of Mortgages
Governor Poloz talks about Canada’s housing market and how the mortgage market could evolve to give Canadians more choice, make the economy more flexible and lower the level of financial system risk. -
May 6, 2019
Poloz talks mortgages: Innovation could improve flexibility
Stephen S. Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks before the Canadian Credit Union Association and the Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce. -
April 1, 2019
Poloz talks trade: Canada’s services a bright spot
Stephen S. Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak before the Baffin Regional Chamber of Commerce (BRCC) and the Nunavut Mining Symposium. -
April 1, 2019
Turbulent Times for Trade
Governor Poloz talks about slowing international trade and how Canada’s rapidly growing services industries can help drive exports and growth. -
The Trade War in Numbers
We build upon new developments in the international trade literature to isolate and quantify the long-run economic impacts of tariff changes on the United States and the global economy. -
September 28, 2018
The benefits of freer trade
Freer trade lowers prices and boosts economies, yet not everyone benefits equally. Fair policies are essential for balanced growth and widespread prosperity. -
Market Size and Entry in International Trade: Product Versus Firm Fixed Costs
This paper develops a theoretical framework to infer the nature of fixed costs from the relationship between entry patterns in international markets and destination market size. If fixed costs are at the firm level, firms take advantage of an intrafirm spillover by expanding firm-level product range (scope).