Recent economic and financial developments

• February 7, 2023

  Monetary policy at work

  Remarks Tiff Macklem CFA Québec Québec, Québec

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem explains how recent interest rate increases work their way through the Canadian economy to slow demand and bring inflation down.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments
• February 7, 2023

  Higher interest rates are working

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem CFA Québec Québec, Québec

  Governor Tiff Macklem explains how the Bank of Canada’s increases to the policy interest rate will cool the economy and bring inflation down.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments

• Introducing the Bank of Canada’s Market Participants Survey

  Staff Analytical Note 2023-1 Annick Demers, Tamara Gomes, Stephane Gignac

  The Market Participants Survey (MPS) gathers financial market participants’ expectations for key macroeconomic and financial variables and for monetary policy. This staff analytical note describes the MPS’s objectives and main features, its process and design, and how Bank of Canada staff use the results.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): C, C8, C83, E, E4, E44, E5, E52, E58, G, G1, G12, G14
• December 12, 2022

  Putting the resolute in resolutions: Looking ahead to lower inflation

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Business Council of British Columbia Vancouver, British Columbia

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the important lessons from 2022 and explains what the Bank is doing to restore price stability for Canadians.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation and prices, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
• December 12, 2022

  Reflections on 2022

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Business Council of British Columbia Vancouver, British Columbia

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the important lessons from events in 2022 and what the Bank is doing to restore price stability for Canadians.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation and prices, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
• November 22, 2022

  Tracking the financial vulnerabilities of households and the housing market

  The Bank of Canada is publishing a new set of indicators of financial vulnerabilities. This will allow households, the private sector, financial authorities and governments to better understand and monitor the evolution of two key vulnerabilities in the financial system: the elevated level of household indebtedness and high house prices.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Hub articles Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial stability, Housing, Monetary and financial indicators, Recent economic and financial developments, Sectoral balance sheet JEL Code(s): D, D1, D14, D8, D84, E, E5, G, G2, G21, R, R2, R21
• November 22, 2022

  Monitoring the health of Canada’s financial system

  Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Young Canadians in Finance Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers discusses risks and vulnerabilities in our financial system and what the Bank of Canada is doing to support financial stability.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Financial stability, Housing, Inflation and prices, Recent economic and financial developments
• November 22, 2022

  Financial stability in times of uncertainty

  Remarks Carolyn Rogers Young Canadians in Finance Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers discusses the Bank’s work to monitor risks and vulnerabilities in Canada’s financial system and support greater financial stability.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Financial stability, Housing, Inflation and prices, Recent economic and financial developments

• Variable-rate mortgages with fixed payments: Examining trigger rates

  Staff Analytical Note 2022-19 Stephen Murchison, Maria teNyenhuis

  We estimate the share of variable-rate mortgages with fixed payments that reached the so-called trigger rate—the interest rate at which mortgage payments no longer cover the principal. Amid rising interest rates, this share was close to 50% at the end of October 2022 and could potentially reach 65% in 2023.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial institutions, Interest rates, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): D, D1, E, E4, E5, G, G2, G21

• Canada’s Beveridge curve and the outlook for the labour market

  Staff Analytical Note 2022-18 Alexander Lam

  Canada’s labour market is tight but beginning to ease. Unemployment will likely rise in turn, but the economy can avoid a recessionary surge given current conditions. Higher unemployment would nonetheless be material, especially for those directly impacted.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Labour markets, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, J, J2, J20, J6, J63, J64