March 3, 2022
Monetary aggregates
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March 3, 2022
Getting inflation back to target
Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank of Canada’s decision yesterday to raise its policy interest rate. He explains that after two years of extraordinary stimulus, we are now on a path of rising interest rates. -
November 1, 2016
25 Years of Inflation Targets: Certainty for Uncertain Times
Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the renewal of Canada’s inflation-targeting agreement and how it continues to help the economy. -
February 24, 2015
Lessons New and Old: Reinventing Central Banking
Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the need to integrate financial stability concerns with inflation control in conducting monetary policy after the financial crisis. -
Financial Conditions and the Money-Output Relationship in Canada
We propose a drifting-coefficient model to empirically study the effect of money on output growth in Canada and to examine the role of prevailing financial conditions for that relationship. We show that such a time-varying approach can be a useful way of modelling the impact of money on growth, and can partly reconcile the lack of concensus in the literature on the question of whether money affects growth. -
Resurrecting the Role of Real Money Balance Effects
I present a structural econometric analysis supporting the hypothesis that money is still relevant for shaping inflation and output dynamics in the United States. In particular, I find that real money balance effects are quantitatively important, although smaller than they used to be in the early postwar period. -
June 16, 2008
A Money and Credit Real-Time Database for Canada
Model-based forecasts of important economic variables are part of the range of information considered for monetary policy decision making. -
Perhaps the FOMC Did What It Said It Did: An Alternative Interpretation of the Great Inflation
This paper uses real-time briefing forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to provide estimates of historical changes in the design of U.S. monetary policy and in the implied central-bank target for inflation. Empirical results support a description of policy with an effective inflation target of roughly 7 percent in the 1970s. -
Regime Shifts in the Indicator Properties of Narrow Money in Canada
Financial innovations and the removal of the reserve requirements in the early 1990s have made the distinction between demand and notice deposits arbitrary. -
Money and Credit Factors
The authors introduce new measures of important underlying macroeconomic phenomena that affect the financial side of the economy.