International topics

• Immigration and US Shelter Prices: The Role of Geographical and Immigrant Heterogeneity

  Staff Working Paper 2024-40 James Cabral, Walter Steingress

  The arrival of immigrants increases demand for housing and puts upward pressure on shelter prices. Using instrumental variables based on the ancestry composition of residents in US counties, we estimate the causal impact of immigration on local shelter prices.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, International topics, Regional economic developments JEL Code(s): J, J6, J61, R, R2, R23, R3, R31
• September 24, 2024

  Economic growth during uncertain times

  Remarks Tiff Macklem IIF-CBA Forum Toronto, Ontario

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses global uncertainty, and the Bank of Canada’s role in mitigating and managing risks to our economy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Financial stability, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments
• September 10, 2024

  Global trade in a changing world

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce London, United Kingdom

  Governor Tiff Macklem talks about how geopolitical, economic and social forces are changing global trade. He also discusses how Canada can benefit from trade shifts and prepare for future supply shocks.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): International topics, Service sector, Trade integration
• September 10, 2024

  Rewired, recast and redirected: Global trade and implications for Canada

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce London, United Kingdom

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem discuss shifts in the global trade environment and outlines the challenges and opportunities for Canada.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): International topics, Service sector, Trade integration

• Demand for Canadian Banknotes from International Travel: Indirect Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

  Staff Working Paper 2024-23 Hongyu Xiao

  This study uses the COVID-19 travel restrictions to estimate foreign demand for Canadian banknotes. It reveals that international visitors accounted for about 10% of all $100 CAD notes in circulation pre-pandemic, with each visitor carrying an average of $165 in hundred-dollar bills.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Bank notes, Central bank research, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial services, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E4, E41, E42, E5, E58, F, F2, F22
• June 12, 2024

  Central banking: Navigating in a new world

  Remarks Tiff Macklem 30th Conference of Montréal: International Economic Forum of the Americas Montréal, Quebec

  Governor Tiff Macklem looks back on the lessons learned from post-pandemic inflation and discusses the challenges ahead.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, International topics, Monetary policy

• Third-Country Effects of U.S. Immigration Policy

  Staff Working Paper 2023-60 Agostina Brinatti, Xing Guo

  We study how the tightening of US immigration policy affects the Canadian economy and American workers. After the reduction in H-1B visa admissions in 2017, more immigrants came to Canada, and Canadian firms expanded their employment, sales and exports. The close trade link between the United States and Canada dampens the benefit American workers derive from this policy change.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): International topics, Labour markets, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration JEL Code(s): F, F1, F16, F2, F22, J, J6, J61

• Immigration and Provision of Public Goods: Evidence at the Local Level in the U.S.

  Staff Working Paper 2023-57 Anna Maria Mayda, Mine Z. Senses, Walter Steingress

  Using U.S. county-level data from 1990 to 2010, we study the causal impact of immigration on the provision of local public goods. We uncover substantial heterogeneity across immigrants with different skills and immigrants of different generations, which leads to unequal fiscal effects across U.S. counties.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Fiscal policy, International topics, Regional economic developments JEL Code(s): F, F2, F22, H, H4, H41, H7, J, J6, J61, J68, R, R5

• International Portfolio Rebalancing and Fiscal Policy Spillovers

  Staff Working Paper 2023-56 Sami Alpanda, Uluc Aysun, Serdar Kabaca

  We evaluate, both empirically and theoretically, the spillover effects that debt-financed fiscal policy interventions of the United States have on other economies. We consider a two-country model with international portfolio rebalancing effects. We show that US fiscal expansions would increase global long-term rates and hinder economic activity in the rest of the world.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Fiscal policy, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, E6, E62, F, F4, F41, F44

• Variations in Pass-Through from Global Agricultural Commodity Prices to Domestic Food Inflation

  Staff Discussion Paper 2023-24 Daniel Hyun, Jacky Lee

  This paper examines factors that affect the transmission of fluctuations in global agricultural commodity prices to domestic food inflation.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, Q, Q0, Q02, Q1, Q11, Q17, Q18