International financial markets

• Capital Flows to Developing Countries: Is There an Allocation Puzzle?

  Staff Working Paper 2016-53 Josef Schroth

  Foreign direct investment inflows are positively related to growth across developing countries—but so are savings in excess of investment. I develop an explanation for this well-established puzzle by focusing on the limited availability of consumer credit in developing countries together with general equilibrium effects.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Foreign reserves management, Interest rates, International financial markets JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E2, E21, F, F4, F43
• November 16, 2016

  Follow the Money: A Canadian Perspective on Financial Globalization

  Remarks Timothy Lane Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI) Waterloo, Ontario

  Deputy Governor Timothy Lane discusses the benefits and challenges of international capital mobility.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Exchange rates, Financial markets, International financial markets, Market structure and pricing, Trade integration

• The Global Financial Cycle, Monetary Policies and Macroprudential Regulations in Small, Open Economies

  Staff Working Paper 2016-38 Gregory Bauer, Gurnain Pasricha, Rodrigo Sekkel, Yaz Terajima

  This paper analyzes the implications of the global financial cycle for conventional and unconventional monetary policies and macroprudential policy in small, open economies such as Canada. The paper starts by summarizing recent work on financial cycles and their growing correlation across borders.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial stability, Housing, International financial markets, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E4, E42, E43, E44, E5, E52, F, F4, F41
• June 9, 2016

  Large Canadian Public Pension Funds: A Financial System Perspective

  Financial System Review - June 2016 Guillaume Bédard-Pagé, Annick Demers, Eric Tuer, Miville Tremblay

  The authors review the eight largest public pension funds in Canada. These funds are an important source of retirement income for Canadians. They are also significant investors, with net assets under management of over $1 trillion. The authors outline the investment strategies of the funds and how they interact with financial institutions and participate in financial markets. They also discuss the ways in which the funds’ risk-management frameworks could contribute to financial system stability and how they minimize potential vulnerabilities.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Review articles Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability, International financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G11, G2, G23
• April 5, 2016

  China’s Great Transition: What It Means for Canada

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Greater Vancouver Board of Trade Vancouver, British Columbia

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins discusses the risks and opportunities for Canada of China’s economic transition.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Financial stability, International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Trade integration

• The Dynamics of Capital Flow Episodes

  Staff Working Paper 2016-9 Christian Friedrich, Pierre Guérin

  This paper proposes a novel methodology for identifying episodes of strong capital flows based on a regime-switching model. In comparison with the existing literature, a key advantage of our methodology is to estimate capital flow regimes without the need for context- and sample-specific assumptions.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): F, F2, F21, F3, F32, G, G1, G11

• Limits to Arbitrage and Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity

  Staff Discussion Paper 2016-4 James Pinnington, Maral Shamloo

  We document an increase in deviations from short-term covered interest rate parity (CIP) in the first half of 2015. Since the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) decision to abandon its minimum exchange rate policy, both the magnitude and volatility of deviations from CIP have increased across several currency pairs. The effect is particularly pronounced for pairs involving the Swiss franc.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, International financial markets JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, G, G1, G15
• January 7, 2016

  Life After Liftoff: Divergence and U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz The Mayor’s Breakfast Series Ottawa, Ontario

  Governor Poloz talks about the global commodity price shock and how it is leading to economic and financial divergence.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates, Inflation targets, Interest rates, International financial markets, Monetary policy

• Tractable Term Structure Models

  Staff Working Paper 2015-46 Bruno Feunou, Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Anh Le, Christian Lundblad

  We introduce a new framework that facilitates term structure modeling with both positive interest rates and flexible time-series dynamics but that is also tractable, meaning amenable to quick and robust estimation.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Asset pricing, Interest rates, International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12

• Foreign Flows and Their Effects on Government of Canada Yields

  Staff Analytical Note 2015-1 Bruno Feunou, Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, James Kyeong, Jesus Sierra

  Foreign investment flows into Government of Canada (GoC) bonds have surged since the financial crisis. Our empirical analysis suggests that foreign flows of $150 billion lowered the 10-year GoC bond yield by 100 basis points between 2009 and 2012.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32