International financial markets

• May 4, 2023

  Getting inflation back to 2%

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Toronto Region Board of Trade Toronto, Ontario

  Governor Tiff Macklem explains that higher interest rates are working to slow inflation but warns that getting all the way back to the 2% target may take time. He also discusses the recent stress in the global banking sector and how financial stability and price stability work together.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Expectations, Financial institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, International financial markets, Monetary policy, Price stability, Service sector
• May 4, 2023

  Staying the course to price stability

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Toronto Region Board of Trade Toronto, Ontario

  Governor Tiff Macklem explains how monetary policy is working to bring inflation down and outlines the challenges ahead. He also discusses recent stress in the global banking sector and how financial stability and price stability interact.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Expectations, Financial institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, International financial markets, Monetary policy, Price stability, Service sector

• Stagflation and Topsy-Turvy Capital Flows

  Staff Working Paper 2022-46 Julien Bengui, Louphou Coulibaly

  Unregulated capital flows are likely excessive during a stagflation episode, owing to a macroeconomic externality operating through the economy’s supply side. Inflows raise domestic wages and cause unwelcome upward pressure on firm costs, yet market forces likely generate such inflows. Optimal capital flow management instead requires net outflows.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): D, D6, D62, E, E5, E52, F, F3, F32, F38, F4, F41

• BoC–BoE Sovereign Default Database: What’s new in 2022?

  Staff Analytical Note 2022-11 David Beers, Elliot Jones, Karim McDaniels, Zacharie Quiviger

  The BoC–BoE database of sovereign debt defaults, published and updated annually by the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, provides comprehensive estimates of stocks of government obligations in default.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Debt management, Development economics, Financial stability, International financial markets JEL Code(s): F, F3, F34, G, G1, G10, G14, G15

• Foreign Exchange Interventions: The Long and the Short of It

  Staff Working Paper 2022-25 Patrick Alexander, Sami Alpanda, Serdar Kabaca

  This paper studies the effects of foreign exchange (FX) interventions in a two-region model where governments issue both short- and long-term bonds. We find that the term premium channel dominates the trade balance channel in our calibrated model. As a result, the conventional beggar-thy-neighbor effects of interventions are overturned.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Exchange rate regimes, Exchange rates, Foreign reserves management, International financial markets, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F33, F4, F41

• Real Exchange Rate Decompositions

  Staff Discussion Paper 2022-6 Bruno Feunou, Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Ingomar Krohn

  We break down the exchange rate based on an explicit link between fixed income and currency markets. We isolate a foreign exchange risk premium and show it is the main driver of the exchange rate between the Canadian and US dollars, especially on monetary policy and macroeconomic news announcement days.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Asset pricing, Exchange rates, International financial markets, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G12
• October 7, 2021

  The long and short of it: A balanced vision for the international monetary and financial system

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Council on Foreign Relations Washington, D.C.

  Governor Tiff Macklem advocates for global coordination to strengthen the international monetary and financial system.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Development economics, Exchange rate regimes, Financial system regulation and policies, Foreign reserves management, International financial markets, International topics, Trade integration
• October 7, 2021

  Investing in global progress

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Council on Foreign Relations Washington, D.C.

  Governor Tiff Macklem makes the case for greater cooperation to shape a stronger international monetary and financial system.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Development economics, Exchange rate regimes, Financial system regulation and policies, Foreign reserves management, International financial markets, International topics, Trade integration

• BoC–BoE Sovereign Default Database: What’s new in 2021?

  Staff Analytical Note 2021-15 David Beers, Elliot Jones, Zacharie Quiviger, John Walsh

  The BoC–BoE database of sovereign debt defaults, published and updated annually by the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, provides comprehensive estimates of stocks of government obligations in default.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Debt management, Development economics, Financial stability, International financial markets JEL Code(s): F, F3, F34, G, G1, G10, G14, G15

• Monetary Policy and Cross-Border Interbank Market Fragmentation: Lessons from the Crisis

  Staff Working Paper 2020-34 Tobias Blattner, Jonathan Swarbrick

  We present a two-country model featuring risky lending and cross-border interbank market frictions.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, International financial markets, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E5, E52, F, F3, F32, F36