Interest rates

• May 12, 2022

  The perfect storm

  Remarks Toni Gravelle Association des économistes québécois Montréal, Quebec

  Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses the commodity price shock and its implications for the Canadian economy and monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Recent economic and financial developments
• May 12, 2022

  How commodity prices affect our economy

  Speech summary Toni Gravelle Association des économistes québécois Montréal, Quebec

  Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle talks about the spike in commodity prices over the past two years, the impact on inflation and how the Bank of Canada is responding.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Recent economic and financial developments

• Expectation-Driven Term Structure of Equity and Bond Yields

  Staff Working Paper 2022-21 Ming Zeng, Guihai Zhao

  Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of equilibrium asset pricing. This paper presents a new equilibrium model of subjective expectations to explain the joint historical dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield spreads).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Asset pricing, Financial markets, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, G, G0, G00, G1, G12

• Assessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 2022

  Staff Analytical Note 2022-4 Kyle Boutilier, Thomas J. Carter, Xin Scott Chen, Eshini Ekanayake, Louis Poirier, Peter Shannon, Akash Uppal, Lin Xiang

  We expect global potential output growth to increase from 2.7% in 2021 to 2.9% by 2024. Compared with the April 2021 assessment, global potential output growth is marginally slower. The current range for the US neutral rate is 2% to 3%, 0.25 percentage points higher than staff’s last assessment.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Interest rates, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E1, E2, E4, E5, F, F0, O, O4

• Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2022 reassessment

  Staff Analytical Note 2022-3 Guyllaume Faucher, Christopher Hajzler, Martin Kuncl, Dmitry Matveev, Youngmin Park, Temel Taskin

  We expect potential output growth to be lower in 2021 than anticipated in the April 2021 assessment. By 2025, growth is expected to reach 2.3%. We assess that the Canadian nominal neutral rate increased slightly to lie in the range of 2.00% to 3.00%.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Economic models, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E2, E3, E4, E5
• March 3, 2022

  Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance

  Opening statement (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy implementation, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
• March 3, 2022

  Economic progress report: Controlling inflation

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem CFA Society Toronto Toronto, Ontario

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and what’s driving inflation in Canada. He also discusses how the Bank will manage the next step in the Bank’s balance sheet operations – quantitative tightening.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary aggregates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments, Sectoral balance sheet
• March 3, 2022

  Getting inflation back to target

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem CFA Society Toronto Toronto, Ontario

  Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank of Canada’s decision yesterday to raise its policy interest rate. He explains that after two years of extraordinary stimulus, we are now on a path of rising interest rates.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary aggregates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments, Sectoral balance sheet
• February 2, 2022

  A Canadian interest rate benchmark regime for the future

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Toni Gravelle International Swaps and Derivatives Association New York, New York

  Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses some important changes that may be coming to Canada’s interest rate benchmarks.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Debt management, Financial markets, Financial system regulation and policies, Interest rates, Market structure and pricing
• December 9, 2021

  Keeping our eyes on inflation

  Speech summary Toni Gravelle Surrey Board of Trade Surrey, British Columbia

  Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle talks about the Bank of Canada’s decision yesterday to leave the policy rate unchanged. He explains the link between supply bottlenecks and high inflation and why the Bank thinks both will ease over time.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector