Inflation targets

• How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?

  Staff Working Paper 2018-2 Monica Jain, Christopher S. Sutherland

  We construct a 23-country panel data set to consider the effect of central bank projections and forward guidance on private-sector forecast disagreement. We find that central bank projections and forward guidance matter mainly for private-sector forecast disagreement surrounding upcoming policy rate decisions and matter less for private-sector macroeconomic forecasts.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): D, D8, D83, E, E3, E37, E5, E52, E58

• Redistributive Effects of a Change in the Inflation Target

  Staff Analytical Note 2017-13 Robert Amano, Thomas J. Carter, Yaz Terajima

  In light of the financial crisis and its aftermath, several economists have argued that inflation-targeting central banks should reconsider the level of their inflation targets. While the appropriate level for the inflation target remains an open question, it’s important to note that any transition to a new target would entail certain costs.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58

• Changes in Monetary Regimes and the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks: Narrative Evidence from Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2017-39 Julien Champagne, Rodrigo Sekkel

  We use narrative evidence along with a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada's staff economic projections from 1974 to 2015 to construct a new measure of monetary policy shocks and estimate the effects of monetary policy in Canada.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Econometric and statistical methods, Exchange rate regimes, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E32, E4, E43, E5, E52, E58
• September 14, 2017

  Bank of Canada Workshop “Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal”

  Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Ottawa, Ontario

  Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri opens the Bank’s Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal workshop.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy framework
• September 14, 2017

  Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins reviews key themes discussed by participants at the workshop “Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal”.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial system regulation and policies, Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework

• Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity in Canada: Evidence Against a “Greasing Effect”

  Staff Working Paper 2017-31 Joel Wagner

  The existence of downward nominal wage rigidity (DNWR) has often been used to justify a positive inflation target. It is traditionally assumed that positive inflation could “grease the wheels” of the labour market by putting downward pressure on real wages, easing labour market adjustments during a recession.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation targets, Labour markets JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E5, E52
• May 4, 2017

  Canada and Mexico: Common Issues in Uncommon Times

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz CanCham México and Club de Industriales Mexico City, Mexico

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses how shared economic traits leave Canada and Mexico well placed to face global challenges.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration

• Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity Meets the Zero Lower Bound

  Staff Working Paper 2017-16 Robert Amano, Stefano Gnocchi

  We add downward nominal wage rigidity to a standard New Keynesian model with sticky prices and wages, where the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates is allowed to bind. We find that wage rigidity not only reduces the frequency of zero bound episodes but also mitigates the severity of corresponding recessions.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation targets, Labour markets, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E3, E32, E5, E52
• February 9, 2017

  Getting to the Core of Inflation

  Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Department of Economics, Western University London, Ontario

  Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the uses and measures of core inflation in the conduct of monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
• November 1, 2016

  25 Years of Inflation Targets: Certainty for Uncertain Times

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Business Council of British Columbia Vancouver, British Columbia

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the renewal of Canada’s inflation-targeting agreement and how it continues to help the economy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Inflation targets, Inflation: costs and benefits, Monetary aggregates, Monetary policy framework