Inflation and prices

• A Blueprint for the Fourth Generation of Bank of Canada Projection and Policy Analysis Models

  Staff Discussion Paper 2023-23 Donald Coletti

  The fourth generation of Bank of Canada projection and policy analysis models seeks to improve our understanding of inflation dynamics, the supply side of the economy and the underlying risks faced by policy-makers coming from uncertainty about how the economy functions.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Economic models, Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): C, C5, C50, C51, C52, C53, C54, C55

• Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy

  Staff Working Paper 2023-52 Serdar Birinci, Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan, Kurt See

  We develop a heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian model featuring a frictional labor market with on-the-job search to quantitatively study the positive and normative implications of employer-to-employer transitions for inflation.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E1, E12, E2, E24, E5, E52, J, J3, J31, J6, J62, J64
• October 3, 2023

  How price setting influences inflation

  Speech summary Nicolas Vincent Chamber of Commerce of Metropolitan Montreal Montréal, Quebec

  Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent talks about how companies set their prices, how those practices changed during the pandemic and why this remains a risk for inflation.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Price stability
• October 3, 2023

  Understanding the unusual: How firms set prices during periods of high inflation

  Remarks Nicolas Vincent Chamber of Commerce of Metropolitan Montreal Montréal, Quebec

  Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent discusses how firms set their prices and how pricing behaviour changed in our recent environment of high inflation.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Price stability
• September 19, 2023

  Household differences and monetary policy

  Speech summary Sharon Kozicki University of Regina Regina, Saskatchewan

  Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki talks about how differences in debt, income and savings across households shaped their experience through the COVID-19 pandemic and how this is affecting monetary policy now.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability
• September 19, 2023

  Rebalancing the economy while managing risks

  Remarks Sharon Kozicki University of Regina Regina, Saskatchewan

  Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki talks about how household differences have affected the way that monetary policy is transmitted. She also discusses how the Bank is considering the role of mortgage interest costs in inflation.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability
• September 7, 2023

  Staying the course

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Calgary Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta

  Speaking a day after we decided to maintain the policy interest rate at 5%, Governor Tiff Macklem explores some key factors behind the decision. He also explains why the 2% inflation target supports a stable economy and greater prosperity for households and businesses.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Credibility, Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Inflation: costs and benefits, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
• September 7, 2023

  Economic progress report: Target in sight, but we’re not there yet

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Calgary Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and what’s happening with inflation beyond the headline numbers. He also discusses why the Bank’s 2% inflation target is the right one.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Credibility, Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Inflation: costs and benefits, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments

• Digitalization: Implications for Monetary Policy

  Staff Discussion Paper 2023-18 Vivian Chu, Tatjana Dahlhaus, Christopher Hajzler, Pierre-Yves Yanni

  We explore the implications of digitalization for monetary policy, both in terms of how monetary policy affects the economy and in terms of data analysis and communication with the public.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Digitalization, Inflation and prices, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): C, C4, C8, E, E3, E31, E32, E5, E52

• The contribution of firm profits to the recent rise in inflation

  Staff Analytical Note 2023-12 Panagiotis Bouras, Christian Bustamante, Xing Guo, Jacob Short

  We measure the contribution to inflation from the growth in markups of Canadian firms. The dynamics of inflation and markups suggest that changes in markups could account for less than one-tenth of inflation in 2021. Further, they suggest that peak inflation was driven primarily by changes in the costs of firms.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): D, D2, D22, D4, E, E3, E31, L, L1, L11