Central bank research

• September 14, 2017

  Bank of Canada Workshop “Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal”

  Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Ottawa, Ontario

  Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri opens the Bank’s Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal workshop.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy framework
• September 14, 2017

  Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins reviews key themes discussed by participants at the workshop “Monetary Policy Framework Issues: Toward the 2021 Inflation-Target Renewal”.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial system regulation and policies, Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework

• How to Predict Financial Stress? An Assessment of Markov Switching Models

  Staff Working Paper 2017-32 Benjamin Klaus, Thibaut Duprey

  This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by using a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals for a transition to a tranquil state.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Econometric and statistical methods, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Monetary and financial indicators JEL Code(s): C, C5, C54, G, G0, G01, G1, G15

• Fintech: Is This Time Different? A Framework for Assessing Risks and Opportunities for Central Banks

  Staff Discussion Paper 2017-10 Meyer Aaron, Francisco Rivadeneyra, Samantha Sohal

  We investigate the risks and opportunities to the mandates of central banks arising from fintech developments.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Digital currencies and fintech, Financial institutions, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E4, E42, G, G1, G2, L, L1

• Adoption of a New Payment Method: Theory and Experimental Evidence

  Staff Working Paper 2017-28 Jasmina Arifovic, John Duffy, Janet Hua Jiang

  We model the introduction of a new payment method, e.g., e-money, that competes with an existing payment method, e.g., cash. The new payment method involves relatively lower per-transaction costs for both buyers and sellers, but sellers must pay a fixed fee to accept the new payment method.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Digital currencies and fintech JEL Code(s): C, C3, C35, C8, C83, C9, C92, E, E4, E41

• The Bank of Canada 2015 Retailer Survey on the Cost of Payment Methods: Sampling

  Technical Report No. 108 Angelika Welte

  In 2015, the Bank of Canada undertook the large-scale Retailer Survey on the Cost of Payment Methods.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Central bank research, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C8, C81, C83

• The Bank of Canada 2015 Retailer Survey on the Cost of Payment Methods: Nonresponse

  Technical Report No. 107 Stan Hatko

  Nonresponse is a considerable challenge in the Retailer Survey on the Cost of Payment Methods conducted by the Bank of Canada in 2015. There are two types of nonresponse in this survey: unit nonresponse, in which a business does not reply to the entire survey, and item nonresponse, in which a business does not respond to particular questions within the survey.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Central bank research JEL Code(s): C, C8, C81, C83
• March 2, 2017

  Thermometer Rising—Climate Change and Canada’s Economic Future

  Remarks Timothy Lane Finance and Sustainability Initiative Montréal, Quebec

  Deputy Governor Tim Lane discusses the implications of climate change—and actions to address it—for Canada’s economy and financial system.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Central bank research, Climate change, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, International financial markets, International topics
• February 9, 2017

  Getting to the Core of Inflation

  Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Department of Economics, Western University London, Ontario

  Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the uses and measures of core inflation in the conduct of monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
• January 31, 2017

  Models and the Art and Science of Making Monetary Policy

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz University of Alberta School of Business Edmonton, Alberta

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the evolution of economic models and the need for central bankers to apply judgment in using them.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Central bank research, Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models, Financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty