Business fluctuations and cycles
-
-
Has Exchange Rate Pass-Through Really Declined in Canada?
Several empirical studies suggest that exchange rate pass-through has declined in recent years in industrialized countries. -
Learning-by-Doing or Habit Formation?
In a recent paper, Chang, Gomes, and Schorfheide (2002) extend the standard real business cycle (RBC) model to allow for a learning-by-doing (LBD) mechanism whereby current labour supply affects future productivity. -
Self-Enforcing Labour Contracts and the Dynamics Puzzle
To properly account for the dynamics of key macroeconomic variables, researchers incorporate various internal-propagation mechanisms in their models. -
Une approche éclectique d'estimation du PIB potentiel pour le Royaume-Uni
The author describes results obtained by using a new methodology to estimate potential output for the United Kingdom. -
Prévision et analyse de la production manufacturière au Canada : comparaison de modèles linéaires et non linéaires
In this paper, the author describes reduced-form linear and non-linear econometric models developed to forecast and analyze quarterly data on output growth in the Canadian manufacturing sector from 1981 to 2003. -
Finance Constraints and Inventory Investment: Empirical Tests with Panel Data
The author empirically tests two aspects of the interaction between financial variables and inventory investment: negative cash flow and finance constraints due to asymmetric information. -
Investment, Private Information, and Social Learning: A Case Study of the Semiconductor Industry
Social learning models of investment provide an interesting explanation for sudden changes in investment behaviour. -
Financial Market Imperfection, Overinvestment, and Speculative Precaution
The author uses panel data to assess the sensitivity of investment to cash flow in non-financial firms, taking into account the role their financial health plays in investment decisions. -
May 23, 2004
The Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey
Since the autumn of 1997, the regional offices of the Bank of Canada have conducted quarterly consultations with businesses across Canada. Timed to feed into the process that precedes the Bank's fixed dates for announcing monetary policy decisions, the consultations (now referred to as the Business Outlook Survey) are structured around a questionnaire which is sent to 100 firms that reflect the Canadian economy in terms of region, type of business activity, and firm size. Martin describes both the consultation process and the questionnaire and makes an initial assessment of the data gathered during the business interviews. The article includes charts and correlation tables that illustrate the responses to the key questions included in the survey.