March 20, 2025 Navigating tariff uncertainty Remarks Tiff Macklem Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how the US trade conflict and uncertainty is hurting business and consumer confidence. He also outlines what the Bank is doing to ensure the trade conflict doesn’t cause widespread or persistent inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration
March 20, 2025 Tariffs and trade uncertainty are hurting the Canadian economy Speech summary Tiff Macklem Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how uncertainty about the trade war with the United States has shaken businesses and consumer confidence. He also reiterates that the Bank of Canada must ensure that high prices from tariffs do not lead to ongoing inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration
February 21, 2025 Trade conflict: What can the Bank of Canada do? Speech summary Tiff Macklem Mississauga Board of Trade-Oakville Chamber of Commerce Mississauga, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how a trade conflict would affect the Canadian economy and monetary policy. He also outlines what the Bank of Canada is focusing on as it renews its monetary policy framework. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Economic models, Housing, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Potential output, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
February 21, 2025 Tariffs, structural change and monetary policy Remarks Tiff Macklem Mississauga Board of Trade-Oakville Chamber of Commerce Mississauga, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the potential impact of a trade conflict with the United States. He also launches the review of the Bank’s monetary policy framework. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Economic models, Housing, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Potential output, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
February 6, 2025 Structural change, supply shocks and hard choices Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Bank for International Settlements Mexico City, Mexico In panel remarks, Governor Tiff Macklem highlights the challenges ahead and discusses the role of monetary policy in a world with more structural change and supply shocks. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Credibility, Inflation and prices, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
January 16, 2025 Back to normal for the balance sheet Speech summary Toni Gravelle VersaFi (formerly Women in Capital Markets) Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle provides an update on when quantitative tightening will end and explains how the Bank of Canada will manage its balance sheet going forward. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments
January 16, 2025 The end of quantitative tightening and what comes next Remarks Toni Gravelle VersaFi (formerly Women in Capital Markets) Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle provides an update on when quantitative tightening will end and how the Bank of Canada will manage its balance sheet after that. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments
Using new loan data to better understand mortgage holders Staff Analytical Note 2025-1 Odae Al Aboud, Saarah Sheikh, Adam Su, Yang Xu The Bank of Canada is using an enhanced dataset that tracks the stock of outstanding mortgages and home equity lines of credit held by federally regulated lenders. This paper highlights some of the new details in the dataset and how they impact the Bank’s understanding of the mortgage market. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial institutions, Interest rates, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): D, D1, D12, D14, G, G2, G21, G28
An Anatomy of Firms’ Political Speech Staff Working Paper 2024-37 Pablo Ottonello, Wenting Song, Sebastian Sotelo We study the distribution of political speech across U.S. firms. We develop a measure of political engagement based on firms’ communications (earning calls, regulatory filings, and social media) by training a large language model to identify statements that contain political opinions. Using these data, we document five facts about firms’ political engagement. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Market structure and pricing, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): D, D2, D22, D6, D63, G, G4, G41, L, L1, L11, L2, L20
September 24, 2024 Economic growth during uncertain times Remarks Tiff Macklem IIF-CBA Forum Toronto, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses global uncertainty, and the Bank of Canada’s role in mitigating and managing risks to our economy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Financial stability, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments