A VAR Analysis of Economic Interdependence: Canada, the United States, and the Rest of the World Technical Report No. 46 John Kuszczak, John Murray The authors use vector autoregression (VAR) modelling techniques to examine the response of the domestic economy to foreign influences and to quantify some of the concepts and relationships relating to economic interdependence. Particular attention is given to the dynamic behaviour and interactions of the U.S. and Canadian economies over the past twenty years. Extensive empirical […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): F, F1, F15, F4, F41
Regulation of Financial Institutions: A Functional Analysis Technical Report No. 45 John Chant This study has three main objectives: First, to examine the reasons for the existence of financial institutions that simultaneously lend to one group and borrow from another; second, to analyze the reasons for the special treatment of these institutions in terms of the regulation that governs their activities; and third, to assess the types of […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Financial institutions JEL Code(s): G, G2, G28
International Capital Mobility and Asset Substitutability: Some Theory and Evidence on Recent Structural Changes Technical Report No. 44 Francesco Caramazza, Kevin Clinton, Agathe Côté, David Longworth This study examines different aspects of the international integration of capital markets. In particular, it attempts to determine whether the changes in controls and regulatory policies that have occurred in the past decade have been associated with a greater degree of market integration. Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Financial markets JEL Code(s): F, F2, F20, G, G1, G11, G15
The Slowdown in Productivity Growth in the 1975-83 Period: A Survey of Possible Explanations Technical Report No. 43 Gerald Stuber The growth rates of both aggregate factor and labour productivity in Canada fell substantially during the period 1975-83. This paper examines this phenomenon and reviews a number of possible explanations for it. First, the productivity growth slowdown is examined at various levels of industry disaggregation. It is apparent from this analysis that the slowdown varied […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Productivity JEL Code(s): D, D2, D24
A Comparison of Alternative Monetary Policy Regimes in a Small Dynamic Open-Economy Simulation Model Technical Report No. 42 David Longworth, Stephen S. Poloz In this paper, the simulation properties of a small, dynamic, open-economy IS-LM-Aggregate Supply model are examined under a variety of alternative policy rule assumptions. These assumptions include rigid money stock, exchange rate and nominal income targets, as well as less rigid policy rules that recognize information limitations. The model that is used consists of four […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Economic models, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52
An Integrated Model of the Portfolio Behaviour of the Canadian Household Sector: 1968-1983 Technical Report No. 41 Stephen S. Poloz An econometric model of the portfolio behaviour of the Canadian household sector is developed to study the linkages between demands for financial assets. The theoretical basis for the model is a version of the well-known Brainard-Tobin framework, which is extended to integrate the consumption-savings and portfolio-allocation decisions. This integration allows joint estimation of the real […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Economic models, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): G, G1, G11
The Structure of the Small Annual Model Technical Report No. 40 David Rose, Jack Selody This volume contains a detailed description of the structure and sectoral properties of the Bank of Canada's Small Annual Model, SAM. The SAM model, constructed in the Research Department of the Bank, is designed for medium- to long-term simulation. It is small by econometric model standards; the version described in this report has 25 stochastic […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Interest rates JEL Code(s): C, C5, C51, E, E4
The Inflation-adjusted Rate of Return on Corporate Debt and Equity: 1966-1980 Technical Report No. 39 Stuart Gilson This report has two main objectives: First, to determine whether the real tax rate on investment income has proven sensitive to inflation; second, to determine the extent to which real returns to debt and equity, based on published data, differ from those based on inflation-adjusted data. The scope of the inflationary distortion in corporate income […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, G, G1, G12, G3, G30
Responses of Various Econometric Models to Selected Policy Shocks Technical Report No. 38 Brian O'Reilly, Graydon Paulin, Philip Smith In July, 1982 a seminar was held in Ottawa to compare the responses of nine major econometric models to a previously specified set of shocks to the Canadian economy. At the seminar, which was sponsored by the Bank of Canada and the Department of Finance, participants presented the results of their simulations and discussed the […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, E, E1, E17