International Borrowing, Specialization and Unemployment in a Small, Open Economy Staff Working Paper 1998-2 Patrick Osakwe, Shouyong Shi Empirical evidence suggests that the unemployment rate and the export/GNP ratio are positively correlated with external debt across developing countries. This paper develops a dynamic model that provides an explanation for the aforementioned relationships. The central idea of our paper is that international borrowing affects unemployment and specialization patterns by unevenly changing the risk-sharing structure—across […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, J, J6
February 5, 1998 International developments and the prospects for the Canadian economy Remarks Gordon Thiessen Saint John, New Brunswick A year ago, in early 1997, prospects for global economic growth were very promising. World economic activity had strengthened and was expected to accelerate further, with the benefit of low inflation, reduced fiscal imbalances, and stable or declining interest rates. In Canada too, output and employment growth had picked up. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
January 30, 1998 Bank Rate Raised to 5 Per Cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today raised its Bank Rate by ½ of one percentage point to 5 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
January 29, 1998 Annual Report 1997 With inflation remaining low for the sixth consecutive year, the Canadian economy recorded a strong expansion of about 4 per cent through 1997. Content Type(s): Publications, Annual Report
January 14, 1998 Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1997-1998 Cover page Mafeking siege note This ten-shilling note measures 6 1/4 by 5 3/4 inches and forms part of the National Currency Collection, Bank of Canada. Photography by James Zagon. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
Food Aid Delivery, Food Security and Aggregate Welfare in a Small Open Economy: Theory and Evidence Staff Working Paper 1998-1 Patrick Osakwe A small-open-economy model is developed to examine how the method of food aid disbursement affects labor employment, food security and aggregate welfare, in recipient countries, in an environment in which private sector firms pay efficiency wages to induce effort. Two forms of food aid delivery are considered: first is project food aid, under which food […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Development economics JEL Code(s): J, J4, O, O1, Q, Q1
December 30, 1997 Bank Releases Guideline for Regulatory Oversight Under Payment Clearing and Settlement Act Clyde Goodlet The Bank of Canada today released a guideline outlining how it intends to carry out its responsibilities under the Payment Clearing and Settlement Act (PCSA). Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
December 14, 1997 Recent economic and financial developments Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1997-1998 The Canadian economy expanded at an average rate of over 4 per cent through the second half of 1996 and the first three quarters of 1997. The expansion was supported by accommodative monetary conditions, substantial employment gains, low inflation, an improved fiscal postion, and strong U.S. demand. These factors will continue to underpin a scenario of sustained growth in output and employment in the period ahead. With the situation in Asia still evolving, it is difficult to be precise about the size of its overall impact on Canada. At the same time, there have been some positive developments including stronger-than-anticipated economic performance in the United States, Mexico, and Europe and declining longer-term interest rates in most industrial countries. The core rate of inflation slipped slightly below the 1 to 3 per cent target range in the closing months of 1997. With the unwinding of some of the special factors that contributed to the decline, trend inflation is expected to move back inside the range in coming months. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Recent economic and financial developments
December 13, 1997 The overnight market in Canada Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1997-1998 Eugene Lundrigan, Sari Toll The overnight market is an active forum where participants with a temporary surplus or shortage of funds can lend or borrow until the next business day. The level of interest rates in the overnight market has always been closely linked to the Bank of Canada's monetary policy operations. In this article, the authors describe the evolution of the market from its roots in the 1950s, the development of the Bank's monetary policy operations in the market, and how the market operates today. They also examine the outlook for the overnight market, particularly the implications of the new Large-Value Transfer System. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Monetary policy implementation
December 12, 1997 Potential output growth: Some long-term projections Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1997-1998 John Kuszczak, Richard Dion This article examines factors that have affected the growth of potential output since the 1950s and presents three possible scenarios for its growth in the future. The authors conclude that there will be a marked slowing in the future growth of potential output as a result of slow population growth and a reduction in labour force participation as the population ages. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Potential output