Un examen de la crédibilité de la politique monétaire au Canada Staff Working Paper 1998-12 Patrick Perrier In this study, the author uses survey data on inflationary expectations to obtain information about the credibility of Canada's monetary policy. By comparing the differences between the forecasts made by survey participants with the targets set by the Bank of Canada for the 1992-1996 period (the period covered by the study), it was possible to […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation targets JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52
Liquidity Effects and Market Frictions Staff Working Paper 1998-11 Scott Hendry, Guang-Jia Zhang The goal of this paper is to shed light on the nature of the monetary transmission mechanism. Specifically, we attempt to tackle two problems in standard limited-participation models: (1) the interest rate liquidity effect is not as persistent as in the data; and (2) some nominal variables are unrealistically volatile. To address these problems, we […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E5
Fundamentals, Contagion and Currency Crises: An Empirical Analysis Staff Working Paper 1998-10 Mark Kruger, Patrick Osakwe, Jennifer Page This paper examines the determinants of currency crises in Latin America, Asia and Africa. It asks two basic questions: (a) Are currency crises linked to economic fundamentals? and; (b) Is there any evidence of a contagion effect after controlling for the potential effects of economic fundamentals? Using pooled annual data for 19 developing countries spanning […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates JEL Code(s): F, F3
June 11, 1998 The outlook for the Canadian economy and monetary policy Remarks Bernard Bonin The Canadian Association of Financial Planners Québec, Québec In mid-May we published our semi-annual Report on monetary policy, covering data up to April 24th. That means we now have new data available for the last two months. Furthermore, our report also pointed to a much greater-than-usual degree of uncertainty about the outlook for the Canadian economy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Buying Back Government Bonds: Mechanics and Other Considerations Staff Working Paper 1998-9 Toni Gravelle With the elimination of the federal deficit, the Bank of Canada, the Department of Finance, and financial market participants are examining ways to manage the reduction in the stock of marketable debt. This paper summarizes three different methods—reverse auction, over-the-counter purchases, and conversions—that could be used to buy back Government of Canada bonds before they […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Debt management, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1
Easing Restrictions on the Stripping and Reconstitution of Government of Canada Bonds Staff Working Paper 1998-8 David Bolder, Serge Boisvert The Department of Finance and the Bank of Canada, as its fiscal agent, work closely with financial market participants in the management of the federal government's debt program. From the government's perspective, maintaining a liquid well-functioning market in Government of Canada securities is a key factor in ensuring that debt-service costs are minimized. It is […] Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Debt management JEL Code(s): G, G1
May 28, 1998 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Opening statement Gordon Thiessen House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Mr. Chairman, my colleagues and I are pleased to appear before your committee on a regular basis following the release of the Bank of Canada's Monetary Policy Report. It gives us a chance to discuss with you a range of economic and monetary issues. More generally, our semi-annual Report and sessions such as this one […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
May 27, 1998 Globalized Financial Markets and Monetary Policy Remarks Gordon Thiessen La Conférence de Montréal Montréal, Quebec Globalization - that is, the growing integration and interdependence of national economies - is changing dramatically the economic landscape. Countries are trading more goods and services, an increasing number of firms now operate across national borders, and savers and borrowers have greater access than ever before to global financial markets. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
May 27, 1998 Bank of Canada Governor speaks at La Conférence de Montréal Media Relations In a speech delivered today to delegates to La Conférence de Montréal, Bank of Canada Governor Gordon Thiessen examined the impact of financial market globalization on the world economy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
May 14, 1998 Recent developments in the monetary aggregates and their implications Bank of Canada Review - Spring 1998 This article examines the developments in the monetary aggregates over the course of 1997 and their implications for future economic activity. The narrow aggregate, M1, grew rapidly in the first half of 1997 but slowed somewhat during the second half of the year. Much of the strong growth in this aggregate over the last several years has been associated with a higher demand for transactions balances as interest rates declined and economic activity revived. There were some special factors at play, however, that are discussed in the article. The Bank expects some slowing in M1 growth through 1998 and into 1999. This would be consistent with a trend of inflation within the inflation-control target range of 1 to 3 per cent over the next couple of years. Growth in the broad aggregate, M2+, continued to be distorted by the shift of savings out of fixed-term deposits into mutual funds. A broader aggregate that includes M2+, CSBs, and all mutual funds and thus provides a better estimate of broad money growth, grew at a moderate pace during 1997. The recent behaviour of the broad monetary aggregates continues to suggest that inflation will remain low in coming years. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Monetary aggregates