August 25, 2020 Our COVID-19 response: Large-scale asset purchases Paul Beaudry The Bank of Canada has taken many actions to support Canadians since the COVID-19 pandemic struck. These include large-scale asset purchases—buying a substantial amount of government bonds and other financial assets. Our purchases serve two purposes. They help key financial markets work properly, and they can help increase spending in the economy. This leads to more employment and stronger economic growth. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Debt management, Financial markets, Financial stability, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission
May 27, 2020 What’s behind your mortgage rate Yang Xu, Yi Zheng Here’s what determines the interest rate on your mortgage—and why that rate can go up and down. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Topic(s): Financial services, Housing, Interest rates, Monetary policy transmission
May 20, 2020 Decisive actions in difficult times Speech summary Timothy Lane CFA Society Winnipeg and the Manitoba Association for Business Economics Winnipeg, Manitoba Deputy Governor Timothy Lane talks about the Bank’s decisive actions in response to COVID-19, and how these will help Canadians now and in the future. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Credit and credit aggregates, Credit risk management, Domestic demand and components, Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial services, Financial stability, Fiscal policy, Housing, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, International financial markets, Labour markets, Lender of last resort, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector, Trade integration
May 20, 2020 Policies for the Great Global Shutdown and Beyond Remarks (delivered virtually) Timothy Lane CFA Society Winnipeg and Manitoba Association for Business Economics Winnipeg, Manitoba Deputy Governor Timothy Lane explains how the Bank is helping Canadian households and businesses weather the COVID-19 crisis, and how our actions today are laying a solid foundation for our future economic recovery. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Credit and credit aggregates, Credit risk management, Domestic demand and components, Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial services, Financial stability, Fiscal policy, Housing, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, International financial markets, Labour markets, Lender of last resort, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector, Trade integration
How Do Mortgage Rate Resets Affect Consumer Spending and Debt Repayment? Evidence from Canadian Consumers Staff Working Paper 2020-18 Katya Kartashova, Xiaoqing Zhou We study the causal effect of mortgage rate changes on consumer spending, debt repayment and defaults during an expansionary and a contractionary monetary policy episode in Canada. We find asymmetric responses of consumer durable spending, deleveraging and defaults. These findings help us to understand household sector response to interest rate changes. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): D, D1, D12, D14, E, E4, E43, E5, E52, G, G2, G21, R, R3, R31
Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields Staff Working Paper 2020-14 Guihai Zhao This equilibrium model explains the trend in long-term yields and business-cycle movements in short-term yields and yield spreads. The less-frequent inverted yield curves (and less-frequent recessions) after the 1990s are due to recent secular stagnation and procyclical inflation expectations. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Asset pricing, Financial markets, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, G, G0, G00, G1, G12
A Portfolio-Balance Model of Inflation and Yield Curve Determination Staff Working Paper 2020-6 Antonio Diez de los Rios How does the supply of nominal government debt affect the macroeconomy? To answer this question, we propose a portfolio-balance model of the yield curve in which inflation is determined through an interest rate rule. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Asset pricing, Debt management, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, E5, E52, G, G1, G12, H, H6, H63
March 6, 2020 Under the microscope James (Jim) C. MacGee, Rhys R. Mendes Evaluating our approach to monetary policy Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Topic(s): Credibility, Inflation targets, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, Monetary policy framework, Price stability
March 5, 2020 Labour market is key to Canada’s resilience Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz Women in Capital Markets Toronto, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz talks about how the labour market is a key source of resilience for Canada’s economy and reviews the Bank of Canada’s decision to lower interest rates. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
March 5, 2020 Economic Progress Report: We All Have Work to Do Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Women in Capital Markets Toronto, Ontario Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement as well as Canada’s labour market—an important source of economic resilience. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments