October 8, 2004 Business Outlook Survey - Autumn 2004 Businesses remain essentially as optimistic about the economic outlook as they were in the summer survey. Although they have marked down their growth forecast for the U.S. economy, businesses expect stronger domestic demand.Supplemental questions on the appreciation of the Canadian dollar - October 2004 Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
October 7, 2004 Global Economic Developments and the Implications for Ontario Remarks David Dodge Ontario Economic Summit Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario One theme that I heard repeatedly in Washington is that 2004 is turning out to be a better year than many had thought, particularly over the first half of the year. Indeed, the IMF is now projecting global economic growth of 5 per cent in 2004, which would be a marked improvement from the 3.9 per cent rate seen in 2003. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Prévision et analyse de la production manufacturière au Canada : comparaison de modèles linéaires et non linéaires Staff Working Paper 2004-40 Frédérick Demers In this paper, the author describes reduced-form linear and non-linear econometric models developed to forecast and analyze quarterly data on output growth in the Canadian manufacturing sector from 1981 to 2003. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, C53
A Forecasting Model for Inventory Investments in Canada Staff Working Paper 2004-39 Marwan Chacra, Maral Kichian The authors present an empirical model to forecast short-run inventory investment behaviour for Canada. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, E, E2, E22, E6, E62
Finance Constraints and Inventory Investment: Empirical Tests with Panel Data Staff Working Paper 2004-38 Rose Cunningham The author empirically tests two aspects of the interaction between financial variables and inventory investment: negative cash flow and finance constraints due to asymmetric information. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Financial institutions JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, G, G1, G14
September 29, 2004 Bank of Canada Issues New $20 Bank Notes Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario "The $20 bank note is the most widely used note," said Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge. "It accounts for almost half of all bank notes in circulation, which is why we encourage Canadians to become familiar with its design and security features. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
September 28, 2004 Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity in Canada Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario Summary results of a survey of activity in Canadian foreign exchange and derivatives markets conducted by the Bank of Canada in April 2004 are now available. Similar surveys were undertaken in 51 other countries during the same month, and the central banks of many of those countries are also releasing their results today. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Source(s): Canadian Foreign Exchange Committee
September 23, 2004 Changes in Minimum Bank of Canada Bond Purchases at Auctions Starting in 1996, the Bank of Canada began adjusting the relative amounts of Government of Canada treasury bills and bonds held on its balance sheet to more closely approximate the proportions of outstanding government debt. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
September 20, 2004 Governor Dodge Discusses Monetary Policy in an Evolving World Economy Media Relations Calgary, Alberta Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge today reviewed Canada's economic outlook and prospects for monetary policy in the context of the evolving world economy. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
September 20, 2004 Canadian Monetary Policy in an Evolving World Economy Remarks David Dodge Canadian Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta The Bank does look to the Chamber to help us understand how economic developments are unfolding at the industry level. And I particularly want to thank the Chamber for being an ongoing partner in our efforts to smoothly introduce three new high-denomination bank notes this year. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks