Forecasting Canadian GDP: Region-Specific versus Countrywide Information Staff Working Paper 2005-31 Frédérick Demers, David Dupuis The authors investigate whether the aggregation of region-specific forecasts improves upon the direct forecasting of Canadian GDP growth. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, C5, C53, E, E1, E17
October 28, 2005 Debt Strategy Consultations 2006/07 Views Sought on Issues Relating to the Government Domestic Bond Program in 2006/07 and Beyond A consultation document on issues relating to the design and structure of the government's domestic bond program for the fiscal year 2006/07 and beyond, prepared jointly by the Department of Finance and the Bank of Canada, is being made public today. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
October 28, 2005 Debt Strategy 2006/07 Consultation Document The Department of Finance, in conjunction with the Bank of Canada, is seeking views of government securities distributors, institutional investors, and other interested parties on adjustments to the Government of Canada bond program for fiscal year 2006/07 and beyond.
October 27, 2005 Modifications to the Terms of Participation and the Standard Terms for Government of Canada Auctions The revised Terms of Participation and the Standard Terms for Government of Canada Auctions, prepared jointly by the Department of Finance and the Bank of Canada on behalf of the Government of Canada, are being published today. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
October 26, 2005 Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Opening statement David Dodge Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce When Paul and I appeared before this Committee last April, we said that the economy appeared to be operating slightly below its production capacity, and that we expected it to move back to full capacity in the second half of 2006. In our October Monetary Policy Report, which we published last Thursday, we said that economic growth in the first half of the year was somewhat stronger than we had previously expected. Indeed, the global and Canadian economies have continued to grow at a solid pace, and our economy now appears to be operating at full production capacity. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
October 25, 2005 RCMP management retreat Remarks David Dodge RCMP management retreat Ottawa, Ontario It's not surprising that the Bank of Canada is interested in promoting economic integrity. After all, the Bank of Canada Act mandates us, as far as possible within the scope of monetary policy action, to "promote the economic and financial welfare of Canada." Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
October 25, 2005 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Opening statement David Dodge House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Past and recent movements in energy prices and in the exchange rate for the Canadian dollar, along with competitive pressures from China and other newly industrialized economies, are giving rise to significant ongoing adjustments in the Canadian economy. Given these adjustments and the slow growth of productivity in recent years, the Bank has slightly reduced its estimate of potential output growth for 2005 and 2006. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
October 25, 2005 Exports, Imports, and the Appreciation of the Canadian Dollar Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2005 Richard Dion, Michel Laurence, Yi Zheng An objective assessment of the effects of the appreciation of the Canadian dollar in 2003 and 2004 on exports and imports requires a detailed review of the numerous other factors which may have been at play. Dion, Laurence, and Zheng discuss the influences that have affected Canada's international trade over the past two years, including exchange rate movements, global and sector-specific shocks, constraints on the domestic supply of a few products, and competition from emerging economies, most notably, China. The analysis is complemented with econometric models developed at the Bank which provide statistically valid estimates of the contribution of the Canadian-dollar appreciation to the recent developments in exports and imports. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Exchange rates, International topics
October 25, 2005 Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2005 Cover page Ready References The book is part of the National Currency Collection, Bank of Canada. Photography by Gord Carter, Ottawa. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
October 24, 2005 Bank of Canada Statement on the Nomination of Dr. Ben S. Bernanke as Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of the United States Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada has been honoured to work with Chairman Alan Greenspan for the past 18 years, and we wish him every success in his future endeavours. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases