Forecasting Commodity Prices: GARCH, Jumps, and Mean Reversion Staff Working Paper 2006-14 Jean-Thomas Bernard, Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian, Sebastien McMahon Fluctuations in the prices of various natural resource products are of concern in both policy and business circles; hence, it is important to develop accurate price forecasts. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, C53, E, E3, E37
April 4, 2006 Bank of Canada to Upgrade $5 Bank Note Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it will issue a $5 note with upgraded security features beginning 15 November 2006 as part of its ongoing effort to improve the security of Canadian bank notes. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
Guarding Against Large Policy Errors under Model Uncertainty Staff Working Paper 2006-13 Gino Cateau How can policy-makers avoid large policy errors when they are uncertain about the true model of the economy? Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): D, D8, D81, E, E5, E58
The Welfare Implications of Inflation versus Price-Level Targeting in a Two-Sector, Small Open Economy Staff Working Paper 2006-12 Eva Ortega, Nooman Rebei The authors analyze the welfare implications of simple monetary policy rules in the context of an estimated model of a small open economy for Canada with traded and non-traded goods, and with sticky prices and wages. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Exchange rates, Inflation targets JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E32, E5, E52
The Federal Reserve's Dual Mandate: A Time-Varying Monetary Policy Priority Index for the United States Staff Working Paper 2006-11 René Lalonde, Nicolas Parent In the United States, the Federal Reserve has a dual mandate of promoting stable inflation and maximum employment. Since the Fed directly controls only one instrument - the federal funds rate - the authors argue that the Fed's priorities continuously alternate between inflation and economic activity. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C5, C52, E, E5, E52
March 30, 2006 The Evolving International Monetary Order and the Need for an Evolving IMF Lecture David Dodge Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Princeton, New Jersey The world needs an international institution to promote a new monetary order—a well-functioning, market-based global financial system. This will be the subject of my remarks today. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Lectures
March 29, 2006 Global Imbalances: Why Worry? What to Do? Remarks David Dodge New York Association for Business Economics New York, New York These imbalances reflect the financial flows associated with mismatches in savings and investment on a global scale. Since the late 1990s, many economies outside the United States have increased their net national savings. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
March 29, 2006 Governor Dodge Discusses How to Resolve Global Imbalances Media Relations New York, New York Large and persistent current account imbalances are a global problem and all countries must adopt policies that will allow market forces to resolve them, Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge said today. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
March 22, 2006 Bank of Canada announces Deputy Governor assignment Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario On behalf of the Board of Directors of the Bank of Canada, Governor David Dodge today announced that Deputy Governor Sheryl Kennedy will be undertaking a short-term assignment as Senior Adviser to The Bank of Nova Scotia. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
March 10, 2006 Bank of Canada Announces Research Fellowship for 2006 Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that Professor Gregor Smith of Queen's University is the recipient of the Bank's Research Fellowship for 2006. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Source(s): Fellowship Program