Disentangling the Factors Driving Housing Resales Staff Analytical Note 2019-12 Mikael Khan, Taylor Webley We use a recently developed model and loan-level microdata to decompose movements in housing resales since 2015. We find that fundamental factors, namely housing affordability and full-time employment, have had offsetting effects on resales over our study period. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Housing, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, E, E2, R, R2, R21
March 14, 2019 The Age of Leverage Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins UBC Vancouver School of Economics and CFA Society Vancouver Vancouver, British Columbia Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses how high leverage is both a headwind to global growth and a vulnerability in the global financial system. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Credit risk management, Financial institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Fiscal policy
Macroprudential Policy with Capital Buffers Staff Working Paper 2019-8 Josef Schroth The countercyclical capital buffer is part of Basel III, the set of regulatory measures developed in response to the financial crisis of 2007–09. This study focuses on how time-varying capital buffers can address inefficiencies in economies with endogenous financial crises. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, Credit risk management, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Lender of last resort JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E3, E32, E4, E44
Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability? Staff Working Paper 2018-55 Toni Ahnert, Kristin Forbes, Christian Friedrich, Dennis Reinhardt Can macroprudential foreign exchange (FX) regulations on banks reduce the financial and macroeconomic vulnerabilities created by borrowing in foreign currency? To evaluate the effectiveness and unintended consequences of macroprudential FX regulations, we develop a parsimonious model of bank and market lending in domestic and foreign currency and derive four predictions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial institutions, Financial system regulation and policies, International financial markets JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32, F34, G, G1, G15, G2, G21, G28
Calibrating the Magnitude of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer Using Market-Based Stress Tests Staff Working Paper 2018-54 Maarten van Oordt How much capital do banks need as a buffer to absorb severe shocks? By using historical stock market data, market-based stress tests help estimate the magnitude of capital buffers necessary to absorb severe but plausible shocks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G2, G21, G28
October 16, 2018 Keeping the financial system healthy Joshua Slive, Donald Coletti We are all better off if the financial system can weather a storm or two. And every one of us plays a role in keeping it that way. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Topic(s): Credit risk management, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, International topics, Sectoral balance sheet
Should Bank Capital Regulation Be Risk Sensitive? Staff Working Paper 2018-48 Toni Ahnert, James Chapman, Carolyn A. Wilkins We present a simple model to study the risk sensitivity of capital regulation. A banker funds investment with uninsured deposits and costly capital, where capital resolves a moral hazard problem in the banker’s choice of risk. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial system regulation and policies JEL Code(s): G, G2, G21, G28
Prudential Liquidity Regulation in Banking—A Literature Review Staff Discussion Paper 2018-8 Adi Mordel Prudential liquidity requirements are a relatively recent regulatory tool on the international front, introduced as part of the Basel III accord in the form of a liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) and a net stable funding ratio (NSFR). I first discuss the rationale for regulating bank liquidity by highlighting the market failures that it addresses while reviewing key theoretical contributions to the literature on the motivation for prudential liquidity regulation. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial system regulation and policies JEL Code(s): G, G2, G21, G28
The Characteristics of Uninsured Mortgages and their Securitization Potential Staff Analytical Note 2018-24 Adi Mordel, Maria teNyenhuis Following changes to housing finance policies that target insured mortgages, uninsured mortgage credit has been growing. This robust growth creates a larger pool of mortgages that may be suitable for private-label residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial system regulation and policies, Wholesale funding JEL Code(s): G, G2, G21, G28
June 18, 2018 Rebooting Reference Rates Remarks Lynn Patterson Investment Industry Association of Canada and Institute of International Finance Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson discusses the efforts in multiple jurisdictions to strengthen LIBOR and similar benchmarks and work underway in Canada to consider a new risk-free benchmark for the Canadian dollar market. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial system regulation and policies, Market structure and pricing