What Can Earnings Calls Tell Us About the Output Gap and Inflation in Canada? Staff Discussion Paper 2023-13 Marc-André Gosselin, Temel Taskin We construct new indicators of demand and supply for the Canadian economy by using natural language processing techniques to analyze earnings calls of publicly listed firms. Our results indicate that the new indicators could help central banks identify inflationary pressures in real time. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Domestic demand and components, Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices, Potential output JEL Code(s): C, C1, C3, E, E3, E5
June 28, 2023 CORRA Advisory Group Meeting (June 28, 2023) Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): CORRA Advisory Group
June 27, 2023 Panel participation by Sharon Kozicki, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada On Tuesday, June 27, 2023, Sharon Kozicki, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, will participate in a panel discussion at the ECB Forum on Central Banking 2023. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
Estimating the Slope of the Demand Function at Auctions for Government of Canada Bonds Staff Discussion Paper 2023-12 Bo Young Chang We use bid data from Government of Canada bond auctions between 1999 and 2021 to gauge the yield sensitivity of these bonds to the issuance amount. Our new metric estimates the demand function of the bidders at each auction and offers insights into the relationship between supply and yield of government bonds. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Debt management, Interest rates JEL Code(s): D, D4, D44, G, G1, G12
June 26, 2023 CARR Meeting (June 26, 2023) Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
Why Consumers Disagree About Future Inflation Staff Discussion Paper 2023-11 Naveen Rai, Patrick Sabourin Since 2022, consumer inflation expectations have shifted, with a significant increase in those expecting high inflation in the coming year and a surge in those expecting deflation further in the future. Using data from the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations, this paper seeks to assess the factors that influence people to expect high inflation, moderate inflation or deflation. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C8, C83, D, D8, D84, E, E3, E31
June 21, 2023 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of June 7, 2023 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on June 7, 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
June 21, 2023 Release of the Bank of Canada’s summary of deliberations On Wednesday, June 21, 2023, the Bank of Canada will publish a summary of the deliberations that took place ahead of its interest rate decision on June 7, 2023. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories