Gazing at r-star: A Hysteresis Perspective Staff Working Paper 2023-5 Paul Beaudry, Katya Kartashova, Césaire Meh Many explanations for the decline in real interest rates over the last 30 years point to the role that population aging or rising income inequality plays in increasing the long-run aggregate demand for assets. Notwithstanding the importance of such factors, the starting point of this paper is to show that the major change driving household asset demand over this period is instead an increased desire—for a given age and income level—to hold assets. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E2, E21, E3, E31, E4, E43, E5, E52, E58, E6, E62, G, G5, G51, H, H6
January 11, 2023 CARR announces development of a Term CORRA benchmark The announcement today confirms that efforts are underway to develop a 1- and 3-month Term CORRA benchmark with the objective of making such benchmarks available for use by the end of Q3-2023. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
January 11, 2023 CARR and TMX launch webcast series on the transition from CDOR CARR is pleased to announce the launch of a series of CDOR Transition Webcasts, developed in partnership with TMX. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
Summaries of Central Bank Policy Deliberations: A Canadian Context Staff Discussion Paper 2023-2 Monica Jain, Walter Muiruri, Jonathan Witmer, Sharon Kozicki, Jeremy Harrison This paper provides the context, rationale and key considerations that informed the Bank of Canada’s decision to publish a summary of monetary policy deliberations. It includes an analysis of how other central banks disclose minutes and summaries of their monetary policy deliberations. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Monetary policy communications JEL Code(s): D, D8, D83, E, E5, E58
January 10, 2023 Panel participation by Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada On Tuesday, January 10, 2023, Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada, will participate in a panel discussion at the Sveriges Riksbank’s International Symposium on Central Bank Independence. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
Macroeconomic Disasters and Consumption Smoothing: International Evidence from Historical Data Staff Working Paper 2023-4 Lorenzo Pozzi, Barbara Sadaba Does consumption smoothing fundamentally decrease during macroeconomic disasters? This paper uses a large historical dataset (1870–2016) for 16 industrial economies to show that during macroeconomic disasters (e.g., wars, pandemics, depressions) aggregate consumption and income are significantly less decoupled than during normal times. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, E, E2, E21