October 3, 2023 How price setting influences inflation Speech summary Nicolas Vincent Chamber of Commerce of Metropolitan Montreal Montréal, Quebec Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent talks about how companies set their prices, how those practices changed during the pandemic and why this remains a risk for inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Price stability
October 3, 2023 Understanding the unusual: How firms set prices during periods of high inflation Remarks Nicolas Vincent Chamber of Commerce of Metropolitan Montreal Montréal, Quebec Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent discusses how firms set their prices and how pricing behaviour changed in our recent environment of high inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Price stability
September 19, 2023 Household differences and monetary policy Speech summary Sharon Kozicki University of Regina Regina, Saskatchewan Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki talks about how differences in debt, income and savings across households shaped their experience through the COVID-19 pandemic and how this is affecting monetary policy now. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability
September 19, 2023 Rebalancing the economy while managing risks Remarks Sharon Kozicki University of Regina Regina, Saskatchewan Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki talks about how household differences have affected the way that monetary policy is transmitted. She also discusses how the Bank is considering the role of mortgage interest costs in inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability
September 7, 2023 Staying the course Speech summary Tiff Macklem Calgary Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta Speaking a day after we decided to maintain the policy interest rate at 5%, Governor Tiff Macklem explores some key factors behind the decision. He also explains why the 2% inflation target supports a stable economy and greater prosperity for households and businesses. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Credibility, Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Inflation: costs and benefits, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
September 7, 2023 Economic progress report: Target in sight, but we’re not there yet Remarks Tiff Macklem Calgary Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and what’s happening with inflation beyond the headline numbers. He also discusses why the Bank’s 2% inflation target is the right one. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Credibility, Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Inflation: costs and benefits, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
Digitalization: Implications for Monetary Policy Staff Discussion Paper 2023-18 Vivian Chu, Tatjana Dahlhaus, Christopher Hajzler, Pierre-Yves Yanni We explore the implications of digitalization for monetary policy, both in terms of how monetary policy affects the economy and in terms of data analysis and communication with the public. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Digitalization, Inflation and prices, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): C, C4, C8, E, E3, E31, E32, E5, E52
The contribution of firm profits to the recent rise in inflation Staff Analytical Note 2023-12 Panagiotis Bouras, Christian Bustamante, Xing Guo, Jacob Short We measure the contribution to inflation from the growth in markups of Canadian firms. The dynamics of inflation and markups suggest that changes in markups could account for less than one-tenth of inflation in 2021. Further, they suggest that peak inflation was driven primarily by changes in the costs of firms. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): D, D2, D22, D4, E, E3, E31, L, L1, L11
Global Demand and Supply Sentiment: Evidence from Earnings Calls Staff Working Paper 2023-37 Temel Taskin, Franz Ulrich Ruch This paper quantifies global demand, supply and uncertainty shocks and compares two major global recessions: the 2008–09 Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. We use two alternate approaches to decompose economic shocks: text mining techniques on earnings calls transcripts and a structural Bayesian vector autoregression model. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C1, C11, C3, C32, E, E3, E32, G, G1, G10
What Can Earnings Calls Tell Us About the Output Gap and Inflation in Canada? Staff Discussion Paper 2023-13 Marc-André Gosselin, Temel Taskin We construct new indicators of demand and supply for the Canadian economy by using natural language processing techniques to analyze earnings calls of publicly listed firms. Our results indicate that the new indicators could help central banks identify inflationary pressures in real time. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Domestic demand and components, Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices, Potential output JEL Code(s): C, C1, C3, E, E3, E5