May 6, 2019 Risk Sharing, Flexibility and the Future of Mortgages Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Canadian Credit Union Association and Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce Winnipeg, Manitoba Governor Poloz talks about Canada’s housing market and how the mortgage market could evolve to give Canadians more choice, make the economy more flexible and lower the level of financial system risk. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Financial services, Financial stability, Housing, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
May 6, 2019 Poloz talks mortgages: Innovation could improve flexibility Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz Canadian Credit Union Association and the Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce Winnipeg, Manitoba Stephen S. Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks before the Canadian Credit Union Association and the Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Financial services, Financial stability, Housing, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
Disentangling the Factors Driving Housing Resales Staff Analytical Note 2019-12 Mikael Khan, Taylor Webley We use a recently developed model and loan-level microdata to decompose movements in housing resales since 2015. We find that fundamental factors, namely housing affordability and full-time employment, have had offsetting effects on resales over our study period. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Housing, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, E, E2, R, R2, R21
Non-Resident Taxes and the Role of House Price Expectations Staff Analytical Note 2019-8 Mikael Khan, Matthieu Verstraete In recent years, the governments of Ontario and British Columbia have imposed taxes on purchases by non-Canadian residents of residential properties in certain jurisdictions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial stability, Housing JEL Code(s): D, D8, D84, R, R2, R21
March 7, 2019 Economic Progress Report: Sensible Shifts in Household Spending Remarks Lynn Patterson Hamilton Chamber of Commerce Hamilton, Ontario Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson discusses updates on the economy and reviews the latest interest rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, Recent economic and financial developments
March 7, 2019 Spending shifts and consumer caution Speech summary Lynn Patterson Hamilton Chamber of Commerce Hamilton, Ontario Speaking a day after we decided to hold interest rates unchanged, Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson discussed the key points Governing Council considered in their decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, Recent economic and financial developments
Fundamental Drivers of Existing Home Sales in Canada Staff Discussion Paper 2018-16 Taylor Webley Existing home sales’ share of Canada’s economic pie has been rising in recent years, and variation around this trend has resulted in outsized contributions to changes in real gross domestic product (GDP). In this context, we use a cointegration framework to estimate the level of resale activity across the Canadian provinces that is supported by fundamentals—namely, full-time employment, housing affordability and migration flows—to help look through the volatility. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models, Housing JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C23, E, E2, E27, R, R2, R21
December 6, 2018 Year-End Economic Progress Report: Financial Vulnerabilities in Focus Remarks Stephen S. Poloz CFA Toronto Toronto, Ontario Governor Poloz talks about how household debt levels and housing markets played a role in the latest interest-rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Financial stability, Housing, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
December 6, 2018 Governor Poloz speaks on financial vulnerabilities and risks to the economy Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz CFA - Toronto Toronto, Ontario In his final speech of 2018, Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the vulnerabilities and risks in Canada’s financial system as well as Canadian and global economic developments. He explains how all this was taken into account in the December interest rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Financial stability, Housing, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments
The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada Staff Working Paper 2018-56 Lutz Kilian, Xiaoqing Zhou How do global oil price shocks spread through Canada’s economy? With Canada’s regionally diverse economy in mind, we explore the implications of oil price shocks for Canadian housing markets and regional economies. We show that the belief that oil price shocks only matter in oil-rich regions is false. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Housing, International topics, Labour markets, Regional economic developments JEL Code(s): F, F4, F43, Q, Q3, Q33, Q4, Q43, R, R1, R12, R3, R31