From Micro to Macro Hysteresis: Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy Staff Working Paper 2024-39 Felipe Alves, Giovanni L. Violante We explore the long-run effects of a monetary policy shock in a Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian model built on the micro evidence that job losses lead to persistently lower individual earnings through a combination of skill decay and abandonment of the labour force. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Labour markets, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E2, E21, E24, E3, E31, E32, E5, E52, J, J2, J24, J6, J64
Does Unconventional Monetary and Fiscal Policy Contribute to the COVID Inflation Surge in the US? Staff Working Paper 2024-38 Jing Cynthia Wu, Yinxi Xie, Ji Zhang We assess whether unconventional monetary and fiscal policy implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. contribute to the 2021-2023 inflation surge through the lens of several different empirical methodologies and establish a null result. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E52, E6, E63
October 23, 2024 Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 3¾% Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3¾%, with the Bank Rate at 4% and the deposit rate at 3¾%. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
October 23, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—October 2024 Monetary policy has worked to reduce price pressures in the Canadian economy. Inflation is now around 2% and is expected to remain near the middle of the Bank of Canada’s control range of 1% to 3% over the projection. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
October 23, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—October 2024—Overview Monetary policy has worked to reduce price pressures in the Canadian economy. Inflation is now around 2% and is expected to remain near the middle of the Bank of Canada’s control range of 1% to 3% over the projection.
October 23, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—October 2024—Risks The Bank of Canada sees both upside and downside risks to the inflation outlook, but the base-case scenario is considered the most likely outcome.
October 23, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—October 2024—In focus: Prices change all the time, and some change more often than others. How often prices change can affect how quickly shifts in economic conditions affect inflation.
October 23, 2024 Interest Rate Announcement and Monetary Policy Report 09:45 (ET)On eight scheduled dates each year, the Bank of Canada announces the setting for the overnight rate target in a press release explaining the factors behind the decision. Four times a year, Governing Council presents the Monetary Policy Report: the Bank’s base-case projection for inflation and growth in the Canadian economy, and its assessment of risks. Content Type(s): Upcoming events
October 23, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—October 2024—Projections Economic growth in Canada is forecast to pick up gradually. Inflation is expected to remain around 2% as core inflation slows.