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9269 Results

Do Sunspots Matter? Evidence from an Experimental Study of Bank Runs

Staff Working Paper 2014-12 Jasmina Arifovic, Janet Hua Jiang
A "sunspot" is a variable that has no direct impact on the economy’s fundamental condition, such as preferences, endowments or technologies, but may nonetheless affect economic outcomes through the expectations channel as a coordination device. This paper investigates how people react to sunspots in the context of a bank-run game in a controlled laboratory environment.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C9, C91, C92, D, D8, D80, E, E5, E58, G, G2, G20

Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work

Staff Working Paper 2014-11 Christiane Baumeister, Pierre Guérin, Lutz Kilian
The substantial variation in the real price of oil since 2003 has renewed interest in the question of how to forecast monthly and quarterly oil prices. There also has been increased interest in the link between financial markets and oil markets, including the question of whether financial market information helps forecast the real price of oil in physical markets.
March 18, 2014

Halifax Chamber of Commerce - Speech and Press Conference (Audio)

Redefining the Limits to Growth - Stephen S. Poloz, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks before the Halifax Chamber of Commerce.

March 18, 2014

Halifax Chamber of Commerce - Speech (Video)

Redefining the Limits to Growth - Stephen S. Poloz, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks before the Halifax Chamber of Commerce.

March 18, 2014

Halifax Chamber of Commerce - Press Conference (Video)

Redefining the Limits to Growth - Stephen S. Poloz, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks before the Halifax Chamber of Commerce.

March 18, 2014

Demographics, Crisis Aftermath Pose Limits to Growth, Says Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz

Demographic forces and the hangover from the global financial crisis together are putting limits on economic growth, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today in Halifax. “A period of subdued growth after a financial crisis can still be regarded as cyclical, in the sense that it will eventually prove to be temporary,” Governor […]
Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
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