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9271 Results

Is This Normal? The Cost of Assuming that Derivatives Have Normal Returns

Staff Working Paper 2024-46 Radoslav Raykov
Derivatives exchanges often determine collateral requirements, which are fundamental to market safety, with dated risk models assuming normal returns. However, derivatives returns are heavy-tailed, which leads to the systematic under-collection of collateral (margin). This paper uses extreme value theory (EVT) to evaluate the cost of this margin inadequacy to market participants in the event of default.
November 26, 2024

Speech: Greater Charlottetown Area Chamber of Commerce

Inflation at 2%: the role of monetary policy going forward — Deputy Governor Rhys Mendes speaks before the Greater Charlottetown Area Chamber of Commerce (8:20 (ET) approx.) .

November 26, 2024

Keeping inflation at 2%

Speech summary Rhys R. Mendes Greater Charlottetown Area Chamber of Commerce Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island
In his first public speech as a deputy governor, Rhys Mendes explains why higher interest rates were needed to get inflation back down to the 2% target and why we want it to stay there.
November 26, 2024

Sticking the landing: Keeping inflation at 2%

Remarks Rhys R. Mendes Greater Charlottetown Area Chamber of Commerce Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island
Deputy Governor Rhys Mendes discusses how monetary policy worked to bring inflation back down to target and why the Bank wants inflation to stay close to 2%.

Preferences, Monetary Policy and Household Inflation

Staff Working Paper 2024-45 Geoffrey R. Dunbar
I quantify the importance of changes in household preferences on household inflation rates using 11 years of scanner data for 11,000 US households. My results suggest that changes in household preferences are an important driver of inflation dynamics at the household level.
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