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67 Results

Assessing the Business Outlook Survey Indicator Using Real-Time Data

Staff Discussion Paper 2017-5 Lise Pichette, Marie-Noëlle Robitaille
Every quarter, the Bank of Canada conducts quarterly consultations with businesses across Canada, referred to as the Business Outlook Survey (BOS). A principal-component analysis conducted by Pichette and Rennison (2011) led to the development of the BOS indicator, which summarizes survey results and is used by the Bank as a gauge of overall business sentiment.

Supervising Financial Regulators

Staff Working Paper 2016-52 Josef Schroth
How much discretion should local financial regulators in a banking union have in accommodating local credit demand? I analyze this question in an economy where local regulators privately observe expected output from high lending. They do not fully internalize default costs from high lending since deposit insurance cannot be priced fairly.
October 6, 2016

Economic Trends and Monetary Policy

Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières Trois-Rivières, Quebec
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins talks about the major trends of the Canadian economy and how they affect monetary policy.
July 13, 2016

Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement

Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR.
June 15, 2016

The Canadian Economy: A Progress Report

Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Yukon Chamber of Commerce Whitehorse, Yukon
Governor Stephen S. Poloz talks about the outlook for Canada’s economy and the adjustment to lower resource prices.
March 30, 2016

Adjusting to the Fall in Commodity Prices: One Step at a Time

Remarks Lynn Patterson Edmonton Chamber of Commerce Edmonton, Alberta
Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson discusses how the Canadian economy is adjusting to the fall in commodity prices.

Canadian Labour Market Dispersion: Mind the (Shrinking) Gap

Staff Analytical Note 2016-3 David Amirault, Naveen Rai
Shocks to a currency area can and often do have asymmetric impacts on its regions that, in the absence of perfect labour mobility, lead to gaps in relative labour market performance. Witness, for example, the effects of the 2008/09 recession and subsequent financial crisis in Europe on the dispersion of employment rates across the euro area – and to a lesser extent the United States.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Labour markets, Regional economic developments JEL Code(s): J, J0, J01, R, R2, R23

New Housing Registrations as a Leading Indicator of the BC Economy

Staff Discussion Paper 2016-3 Calista Cheung, Dmitry Granovsky
Housing starts and building permits data are commonly used as leading indicators of economic activity. In British Columbia, all new homes must be registered with the Homeowner Protection Office, a branch of BC Housing, before the issuance of building permits and the start of construction.
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