November 22, 2023 Fighting to get back to low inflation Speech summary Tiff Macklem Saint John Region Chamber of Commerce Saint John, New Brunswick Governor Tiff Macklem outlines how high inflation is hurting Canadians and how monetary policy is working to bring it down. He also explains why the Bank of Canada must stay the course in its inflation fight. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Price stability
November 9, 2023 Getting used to higher interest rates Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Advocis Vancouver Vancouver, British Columbia Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers talks about why interest rates could settle at a higher level than Canadians are used to and why preparing early for that possible outcome is important. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Credit risk management, Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability, Firm dynamics, Interest rates, Monetary and financial indicators, Recent economic and financial developments
November 9, 2023 Financial stability in a world of higher interest rates Remarks Carolyn Rogers Advocis Vancouver Vancouver, British Columbia Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers talks about financial stability in an era of higher interest rates. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Credit risk management, Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability, Firm dynamics, Interest rates, Monetary and financial indicators, Recent economic and financial developments
September 19, 2023 Household differences and monetary policy Speech summary Sharon Kozicki University of Regina Regina, Saskatchewan Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki talks about how differences in debt, income and savings across households shaped their experience through the COVID-19 pandemic and how this is affecting monetary policy now. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability
September 19, 2023 Rebalancing the economy while managing risks Remarks Sharon Kozicki University of Regina Regina, Saskatchewan Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki talks about how household differences have affected the way that monetary policy is transmitted. She also discusses how the Bank is considering the role of mortgage interest costs in inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability
Estimating the Slope of the Demand Function at Auctions for Government of Canada Bonds Staff Discussion Paper 2023-12 Bo Young Chang We use bid data from Government of Canada bond auctions between 1999 and 2021 to gauge the yield sensitivity of these bonds to the issuance amount. Our new metric estimates the demand function of the bidders at each auction and offers insights into the relationship between supply and yield of government bonds. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Debt management, Interest rates JEL Code(s): D, D4, D44, G, G1, G12
June 8, 2023 Economic progress report: Are we entering a new era of higher interest rates? Remarks Paul Beaudry Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce Victoria, British Columbia Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry discusses the latest interest rate decision and suggests reasons why longer-term interest rates could remain higher than they were before the pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Housing, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector
June 8, 2023 Adjusting to higher interest rates Speech summary Paul Beaudry Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce Victoria, British Columbia Speaking a day after we raised interest rates, Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry talks about what Governing Council considered in its decision. He also suggests reasons why long-term interest rates could remain higher than they were before the COVID-19 pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Housing, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector
May 18, 2023 Release of the Financial System Review Opening statement Tiff Macklem, Carolyn Rogers Ottawa, Ontario Press conference following the release of the Financial System Review. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Interest rates, International financial markets, Recent economic and financial developments, Wholesale funding
Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2023 assessment Staff Analytical Note 2023-6 Julien Champagne, Christopher Hajzler, Dmitry Matveev, Harlee Melinchuk, Antoine Poulin-Moore, Galip Kemal Ozhan, Youngmin Park, Temel Taskin We expect that potential output growth will rebound from 1.4% in 2022 to 2.2% on average between 2023 and 2026. We revised down our estimates of growth over 2022–25 relative to the April 2022 assessment. The Canadian nominal neutral rate remains unchanged—in the range of 2% to 3%. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Economic models, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E2, E3, E4, E5