November 14, 2018 Financial System Research Centre The FSRC promotes financial system research in Canada to inform policy and improve the economic and financial well-being of Canadians.
Modelling the Macrofinancial Effects of a House Price Correction in Canada Staff Analytical Note 2018-36 Thibaut Duprey, Xuezhi Liu, Cameron MacDonald, Maarten van Oordt, Sofia Priazhkina, Xiangjin Shen, Joshua Slive We use a suite of risk-assessment models to examine the possible impact of a hypothetical house price correction, centred in the Toronto and Vancouver areas. We also assume financial stress significantly amplifies the macroeconomic impact of the house price decline. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability, Housing JEL Code(s): E, E2, E27, E3, E37, E4, E44, G, G2, G21
November 14, 2018 Financial System Survey Highlights—November 2018 This article presents the key results from the autumn 2018 Bank of Canada Financial System Survey, conducted between September 24 and October 12, 2018. The survey collects expert opinions from financial system experts on the risks to, and resilience of, the Canadian financial system. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Survey
November 14, 2018 Financial System Resilience and House Price Corrections Thibaut Duprey, Xuezhi Liu, Cameron MacDonald, Maarten van Oordt, Sofia Priazhkina, Xiangjin Shen, Joshua Slive, Virginie Traclet We use models to better understand and assess how risks could affect the financial system. In our hypothetical scenario, a house price correction and elevated financial stress weigh on the economy. An increased number of households and businesses have difficulty repaying loans. Nonetheless, the large banks remain resilient. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Hub articles
The Impact of Recent Policy Changes on the Canadian Mortgage Market Staff Analytical Note 2018-35 Olga Bilyk, Maria teNyenhuis Recent policy changes are having a clear impact on the mortgage market. The number of new, highly indebted borrowers has fallen, and overall mortgage activity has slowed significantly. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial institutions, Interest rates, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): D, D1, E, E4, G, G2, G21, G28
The Framework for Risk Identification and Assessment Technical Report No. 113 Cameron MacDonald, Virginie Traclet Risk assessment models are an important component of the Bank’s analytical tool kit for assessing the resilience of the financial system. We describe the Framework for Risk Identification and Assessment (FRIDA), a suite of models developed at the Bank of Canada to quantify the impact of financial stability risks to the broader economy and a range of financial system participants (households, businesses and banks). Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Economic models, Financial institutions, Financial stability, Housing JEL Code(s): C, C3, C5, C6, C7, D, D1, E, E0, E00, E2, E27, E3, E37, E4, E47, G, G0, G2, G21
November 13, 2018 Changes to publication of interest rate statistics As of January 2019, the Bank of Canada will no longer publish the daily, weekly or monthly prime commercial paper (CP) or bankers’ acceptance (BA) rates. The Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) will start publishing for informational purposes only the 1- and 3-month transaction based BA rates on the same date. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
November 13, 2018 Capital Flows in Advanced Economies This conference examines the latest empirical and theoretical research surrounding capital flows for financial stability in advanced economies. The volatility and large size of capital flows has led to an international policy debate about their financial stability implications for advanced economies as well as potential ramifications for emerging economies. Content Type(s): Conferences and workshops
November 9, 2018 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2018 Quarterly Financial Report - Third Quarter 2018 - For the period ended September 30, 2018 Content Type(s): Publications, Quarterly Financial Report
November 6, 2018 Government of Canada Cash Management Bond Buyback Program The Bank of Canada and the Department of Finance are announcing today that the pilot for the Government of Canada Cash Management Bond Buyback program will be made permanent. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices