The Output-Inflation Trade-off in Canada Staff Discussion Paper 2024-7 Stefano Gnocchi, Fanny McKellips, Rodrigo Sekkel, Laure Simon, Yinxi Xie, Yang Zhang We explain how the Bank of Canada’s policy models capture the trade-off between output and inflation in Canada. We provide new estimates of the trade-off and contrast them with those in the Bank’s macroeconomic models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E52
June 30, 2024 Quarterly Research Update – 2024 Q2 This newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website. Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters
How big is cash-futures basis trading in Canada’s government bond market? Staff Analytical Note 2024-16 Andreas Uthemann, Rishi Vala Cash-futures basis trading has grown alongside the Government of Canada bond futures market. We examine this growth over time in relation to Government of Canada bond and repurchase agreement markets and provide details on the type of market participants that engage in this type of trading activity. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): D, D4, D47, D5, D53, G, G1, G12, G2, G23
Non-bank financial intermediation: Canada’s submission to the 2023 global monitoring report Staff Analytical Note 2024-15 Malcolm Fisher, Alan Walsh We share insights from Canadian data from 2002 to 2022 that the Bank of Canada collected. The Bank submits these data each year to the Financial Stability Board for inclusion in its Global Monitoring Report on Non-Bank Financial Intermediation. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial institutions, Sectoral balance sheet JEL Code(s): G, G2, G21, G22, G23
June 26, 2024 CFIF-BATVN publishes an educational primer on Canadian Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Canadian money markets are undergoing a significant change due to the disappearance of Bankers Acceptances (BAs). BAs will no longer be issued by the major Canadian banks after the cessation of the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate’s (CDOR) publication on June 28, 2024. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Fixed-Income Forum
June 26, 2024 What labour force participation tells us about the economy Labour force participation tells us how many people are active in the labour market and how many have dropped out of it. It is just one piece of a larger puzzle, but it is essential to understanding what is happening in the labour market overall. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple
June 24, 2024 Speech by Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada On Monday, June 24, 2024, Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak before the Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
June 24, 2024 Workers, jobs, growth and inflation—Today and tomorrow Remarks Tiff Macklem Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce Winnipeg, Manitoba Governor Tiff Macklem explains why Canada’s labour market has had a fairly smooth adjustment to slowing economic growth. He also discusses Canada’s labour market advantages and the challenge of improving productivity growth and investment. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Labour markets, Monetary policy, Productivity