July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024 Monetary policy is working to reduce price pressures in the Canadian economy. Core inflation is expected to ease gradually, while the path of CPI inflation will be bumpy. Inflation returns sustainably to the 2% target in the second half of 2025. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024—Canadian economy—Current conditions Inflation in Canada has been below 3% since January and broad inflationary pressures are easing. Economic growth has picked up, led by population gains.
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024—Overview Monetary policy is working to reduce price pressures in the Canadian economy. Core inflation is expected to ease gradually, while the path of CPI inflation will be bumpy.
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Tiff Macklem Ottawa, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the Monetary Policy Report and the key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024—In focus: How newcomers impact the Canadian economy A rise in newcomer arrivals has boosted Canada’s population growth in recent years, adding to both supply and demand. Assessing how this change impacts the economy can provide insight into inflationary pressures.
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024—In focus: Drivers of inflation in core goods and services Inflation in the prices of goods excluding energy has fallen sharply across many economies, while inflation in services excluding shelter remains elevated. Examining the factors behind recent shifts can provide insights into where inflation may be headed, at least over the near term.
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report – July 2024 – Risks The Bank sees two broad types of upside risks to the inflation outlook and two main downside risks, though the base-case scenario is considered the mostly likely outcome.
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024—Projections Economic growth in Canada is forecast to improve in the second half of 2024 and strengthen further in 2025 and 2026. Core inflation is expected to ease gradually, while the path of CPI inflation will be bumpy.
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024—Global economy The global economy is forecast to grow at around 3% over the projection horizon, in line with its current pace. Inflation remains above central bank targets.
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024—Canadian economy—Outlook Canada’s economic growth is forecast to increase as interest rates gradually ease and both household and business confidence rise. Inflation is projected to return to the 2% target in 2025, though the trajectory may be bumpy.